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— February 26, 2015 — 


We call your attention to a special all-day program on Friday, May 8, 2015, as part of CNSTAT’s 127th meeting. Organized jointly with the NSF-Census Research Network (NCRN, funded by the National Science Foundation and the U.S. Census Bureau), the program will include technical sessions on work under way at the various NCRN nodes, followed by lunch, followed by a public seminar featuring a paper by John Abowd and Stephen Fienberg, Can Government-Academic Partnerships Help Secure the Future of the Federal Statistical System? Examples from the NSF-Census Research Network.

Download a copy of the agenda

Register now.


For more information about the NCRN and what the various nodes have been up to, see
http://www.ncrn.info/.   

 

 People News

 

We congratulate Rebecca Blank, chancellor of the University of Wisconsin–Madison and former acting and deputy secretary and undersecretary for economic affairs in the U.S. Department of Commerce, who was named the 2015 Daniel Patrick Moynihan Prize Winner by the American Academy of Political and Social Science. The Moynihan Prize honors individuals who use sound analysis and social science research to inform public policy and who contribute to the public discourse on society’s most pressing issues. Previously, Becky served a term on the Council of Economic Advisers, as dean and professor of public policy and economics in the Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy, University of Michigan, on the faculty at Northwestern University and Princeton University, and as a fellow at the Brookings Institution. Her Moynihan Lecture on Social Science and Public Policy—“What Drives American Competitiveness”—is open to the public and is scheduled for the afternoon of May 7, 2015, at the National Press Club in Washington, DC. Becky served on several CNSTAT panels, including those that produced Measuring Poverty: A New Approach in 1995 and Measuring Racial Discrimination in 2004.

CNSTAT welcomes two new staff members:

Eileen LeFurgy joined CNSTAT as Program Coordinator on February 2; her primary responsibilities are supporting Connie Citro and CNSTAT meetings and operations, including the CNSTAT website. She comes to CNSTAT having worked for 2 years as a Project Coordinator on grants from the Department of Justice at the International Association of Chiefs of Police in Alexandria. Prior positions include Project Coordinator/Research Assistant for Development Services Group in Bethesda; Research Specialist for National Corporate Research in Washington, DC; and Archives Technician with the National Archives and Records Administration in College Park. She has a B.A. in Criminology and Criminal Justice and Sociology from the University of Maryland–College Park, and an M.S. in Justice, Law, and Society from American University.

Seth Hauser returned on February 23 as a Senior Program Officer on a temporary assignment to CNSTAT, where he served from 2002 to 2003, contributing to two reports: Measuring Racial Discrimination (2004) and The 2000 Census: Counting Under Adversity (2004). In the interim, Seth spent more than a decade as an analyst and manager of analysts in the U.S. intelligence community, focused largely on security dynamics in East Asia. Seth received his Ph.D. in Sociology and M.A. in Statistics from the University of Michigan and his B.A. in Social Policy from Carleton College.


 Event Other News

 

Nominations are now invited for the 2015 Julius Shiskin Memorial Award for Economic Statistics. The Award is given in recognition of unusually original and important contributions in the development of economic statistics or in the use of statistics in interpreting the economy. Contributions can be in development of new statistical measures, statistical research, use of economic statistics to analyze and interpret economic activity, development of statistical tools, management of statistical programs, or application of data production techniques. The award is cosponsored by the Washington Statistical Society, the National Association for Business Economics, and the Business and Economics Statistics Section of the American Statistical Association. The award will be presented with an honorarium of $1000 plus additional recognition from the sponsors. A nomination form is available here. Completed nominations must be received by March 16, 2015. For more information please contact Thomas Evans, evans.thomas@bls.gov or call (202) 691-6354.

 

 Report News

 

 Realizing the Potential of the American Community Survey: Challenges, Tradeoffs, and Opportunities, the final report of the Panel on Addressing Priority Technical Issues for the Next Decade of the American Community Survey (ACS), was released in prepublication form on January 16, 2015. It is available in PDF and in print. The panel was chaired by Alan Zaslavsky, Harvard Medical School, for the U.S. Census Bureau.
The Report in Brief—

      The ACS was conceptualized as a replacement to the census long form, which collected detailed population and housing data from a sample of the U.S. population, once a decade, as part of the decennial census operations. The long form was traditionally the main source of socioeconomic information for areas below the national level. The data provided for small areas, such as counties, municipalities, and neighborhoods, is what made the long form unique, and what makes the ACS unique today. Since the successful transition from the decennial long form in 2005, the ACS has become an invaluable resource for many stakeholders, particularly for meeting national and state level data needs. However, due to inadequate sample sizes, a major challenge for the survey is producing reliable estimates for smaller geographic areas. This is also a good time to assess other aspects of the survey in order to identify opportunities for refinement based on the experience of the first few years. Realizing the Potential of the American Community Survey provides input on ways of improving the ACS, focusing on two priority areas: identifying methods that could improve the quality of the data available for small areas, and suggesting changes that would increase the survey's efficiency in responding to new data needs. This report considers changes that the ACS Office should consider over the course of the next few years in order to further improve the ACS data.

 

Measuring Research and Development Expenditures in the U.S. Nonprofit Sector: Conceptual and Design Issues, Summary of a Workshop was released in prepublication form, January 5, 2015. It is available in PDF; printed copies will be available shortly. The workshop steering committee was chaired by Lester Salamon, Johns Hopkins University, for the National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics.

The Report in Brief—

      NCSES of the National Science Foundation is responsible for national reporting of the research and development (R&D) activities that occur in all sectors of the U.S. economy. For most sectors, including the business and higher education sectors, NCSES collects data on these activities on a regular basis. However, data on R&D within the entire nonprofit sector have not been collected in 18 years, a time period that has seen dynamic and rapid growth of the sector. NCSES decided to design and implement a new survey of nonprofits and commissioned this workshop to provide a forum to discuss conceptual and design issues and methods. This report summarizes the discussions on the workshop about concepts and issues for the design of a survey of R&D expenditures made by nonprofit organizations, considering the goals, content, statistical methodology, data quality, and data products associated with this data collection. The report also considers the broader usefulness of the data for understanding the nature of the nonprofit sector and their R&D activities. The report will help readers understand the role of nonprofit sector, given its enormous size and scope as well as its contribution to identifying new forms of R&D beyond production processes and new technology.

 

Reliability Growth: Enhancing Defense System Reliability, the final report of the CNSTAT Panel on the Theory and Application of Reliability Growth Modeling to Defense Systems, was released in prepublication form on November 12, 2014. It is available in PDF; printed copies will be available shortly. The panel was chaired by Arthur Fries, Institute for Defense Analyses, for the Office of the Secretary of Defense, Director of Operational Test and Evaluation, and Undersecretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology and Logistics.

The Report in Brief—

A high percentage of defense systems fail to meet their reliability requirements. Those systems are not only less likely to successfully carry out their intended missions, but they also could endanger the lives of the operators. Moreover, reliability failures discovered after deployment can result in costly and strategic delays and the need for expensive redesign, which often limits the tactical situations in which the system can be used. Finally, systems that fail to meet their reliability requirements are much more likely to need additional scheduled and unscheduled maintenance and to need more spare parts and possibly replacement systems, all of which can substantially increase the life-cycle costs of a system. Beginning in 2008, the U.S. Department of Defense (DOD) undertook a concerted effort to raise the priority of reliability through greater use of design for reliability techniques, reliability growth testing, and formal reliability growth modeling, by both the contractors and DOD units. To this end, handbooks, guidances, and formal memoranda were revised or newly issued to reduce the frequency of reliability deficiencies for defense systems in operational testing and the effects of those deficiencies. Reliability Growth evaluates these recent changes and, more generally, assesses how current DOD principles and practices could be modified to increase the likelihood that defense systems will satisfy their reliability requirements. The report examines changes to the reliability requirements for proposed systems; defines modern design and testing for reliability; discusses the contractor's role in reliability testing; and summarizes the current state of formal reliability growth modeling.

 

 
Reminder: PDF versions of CNSTAT and NAS reports are available for free download at The National Academies Press website, http://www.nap.edu. NOTE: The download site asks for your e-mail and a password.  If you don’t have an NAP account and don’t want to have one, then provide your e-mail and click “I don’t have an account;” on the next page click “accept NAP policies” and “log in as guest”.  

 

 CNSTAT Meetings

 

CNSTAT’s 127th meeting will be held May 7-8, 2015, in the NAS main building at 2101 Constitution Ave, NW, Washington, DC.  On the 8th, there will be a special program organized by CNSTAT and the NSF-Census Research Network (NCRN). Register now or download a copy of the agenda

 

 

CNSTAT’s 128th meeting will be held October 22-23, 2015, in the NAS main building at 2101 Constitution Ave NW, Washington, DC. On the 23rd, the meeting will feature a luncheon with statistical agency heads, followed by a public seminar, beginning with light refreshments at 2 pm and ending with a reception at 4:30 pm.

CNSTAT’s 129th meeting will be held February 11-12, 2016, at the NAS Keck Center of the National Academies in Washington, DC. It will be a retreat meeting; there will be no agency head luncheon or public seminar.

   

 

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[Listed by sponsor agency, beginning with federal departments. Unless otherwise noted, meetings are in Washington, DC, and include open sessions. For further information, contact the person listed as the study director or project assistant (e-mail addresses follow the formula of first initial plus last name as oneword@nas.edu). Also see the CNSTAT web site under “Our Work.”]

Department of Agriculture

 

Panel on Methods for Integrating Multiple Data Sources to Improve Crop Estimates

Sponsor: National Agricultural Statistics Service

Duration: September 2014–September 2017

Study director: Nancy Kirkendall; project assistant: Mary Ann Kasper

Chair-designate: Mary Ellen Bock (Purdue University)

Report planned: Final report


Workshop on Data and Research to Improve the Food Availability Data System and Estimates of Food Loss (joint with the Food and Nutrition Board, Institute of Medicine)

Sponsor: Economic Research Service

Duration: October 2013–March 2015

Study director: Ann Yaktine (IOM); senior program officer: Nancy Kirkendall; project assistant: Anthony Mann

Chair: Mary K. Muth (RTI International Food and Nutrition Policy Research Program)

Report: Workshop summary, Data and Research to Improve the U.S. Food Availability System and Estimates of Food Loss: A Workshop Summary, released in prepublication form, September 26, 2014; available in print and in PDF

Meeting: Workshop held April 8-9, 2014

 

Workshop on Model-Based Methods for Producing Estimates of Livestock with Appropriate Measures of Uncertainty

Sponsor: National Agricultural Statistics Service

Duration: September 2014– September 2015

Study director: Nancy Kirkendall; project assistant: Mary Ann Kasper

Chair: TBD

Report planned: Workshop summary

Upcoming meetings: TBD

 

Workshop on Rationalizing Rural Area Classifications for ERS/USDA

Sponsor: Economic Research Service

Duration: September 2014–September 2015

Study director: Nancy Kirkendall; co-study director: Gooloo Wunderlich; project assistant: Mary Ann Kasper

Chair: David Brown (Cornell University)

Report planned: Workshop summary

Upcoming meetings: Workshop scheduled for April 16-17, 2015 at the NAS Keck Center in Washington, DC


Department of Commerce

 

Panel on Addressing Priority Technical Issues for the Next Decade of the American Community Survey

Sponsor: U.S. Census Bureau

Duration: October 2011–February 2015

Study director: Krisztina Marton; senior program officer: Nancy Kirkendall; project assistant, Michael Siri

Chair: Alan Zaslavsky (Harvard Medical School)

Report:  Final report, Realizing the Potential of the American Community Survey: Challenges, Tradeoffs, and Opportunities, released in prepublication form, January16, 2015; available in PDF and in print

Meetings: Last (eighth) meeting held May 28, 2014, in Washington, DC

 

Panel to Review the 2010 Census

Sponsor: U.S. Census Bureau

Duration: May 2009–March 2015

Study director: Daniel Cork; project assistant: Anthony Mann

Chair: Thomas Cook (Decision Analytics International)

Report released: Change and the 2020 Census: Not Whether But How, released on March 25, 2011, available in print and in PDF

Meetings: Twentieth and last meeting held August 21-22, 2014, in Washington, DC

 

Panel to Review and Evaluate the 2014 Survey of Income and Program Participation Content and Design

Sponsor: U.S. Census Bureau

Duration: September 2013–November 2016

Study director: Carol House; project assistant, Agnes Gaskin

Chair: John Czajka (Mathematica Policy Research)

Report planned: Final report

Upcoming meetings: Third meeting held November 20-21, 2014, in Washington, DC; fourth meeting TBD

 

Standing Committee on Reengineering Census Operations

Sponsor: U.S. Census Bureau

Duration: September 2014–September 2019

Study director: Daniel Cork; program officer: Jordyn White; project assistant: Anthony Mann

Chair: Thomas Cook (Decision Analytics International)

Reports: Standing committees do not issue reports; they meet for discussion; they also stand up workshops or consensus panels; this committee will stand up workshops on central topics for 2020 census planning; it will also stand up a consensus panel on reengineering the Census Bureau’s Economic Census and economic surveys.  A website for the committee is maintained at this link.

Upcoming meetings: First meeting held February 23-24, 2015 in Washington, DC; second meeting TBD

 

Department of Defense

 

Panel on the Theory and Application of Reliability Growth Modeling to Defense Systems

Sponsor: Office of the Secretary of Defense, Director of Operational Test and Evaluation, and Undersecretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology and Logistics

Duration: September 2009–December 2014

Study director: Michael Cohen; project assistant: Michael Siri

Chair: Arthur Fries (Institute for Defense Analyses)

Report: Final report, Reliability Growth: Enhancing Defense System Reliability, released in prepublication form, November 12, 2014; available in PDF; printed copies will be available shortly.

Meetings: Fifth and final meeting held July 8–9, 2013, in Washington, DC

 

Department of Education

 

Committee on the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) Achievement Levels Evaluation (joint with the DBASSE Board on Testing and Assessment, which has the lead)

Sponsor: National Center for Education Statistics

Duration: September 2014–March 2016

Study director: Judith Koenig (BOTA); program officer: Jordyn White (CNSTAT); project assistant: Kelly Arrington (BOTA)

Chair: Christopher Edley, Jr. (University of California, Berkeley)

Report planned: Final report

Upcoming meetings: Second meeting scheduled for May 27-28, 2015, in Washington, DC

  

Department of Health and Human Services

 

Standing Committee on Integrating New Behavioral Health Measures into SAMHSA’s Data Collection Programs (joint with the DBASSE Board on Behavioral, Cognitive, and Sensory Sciences and the IOM Board on Health Sciences Policy)

Sponsors: Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation and Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration

Duration: August 2014–July 2016

Study director: Krisztina Marton; senior program officer, Jeanne Rivard (BBCSS); senior program officer: Adrienne Stith Butler (IOM); project assistant, Michael Siri

Chair: James Jackson (University of Michigan)

Reports: Standing committees do not issue reports; they meet for discussion; they also stand up workshops or consensus panels; this committee will stand up workshops on the topics of serious emotional disturbance in children, trauma and recovery, and specific mental illness diagnoses with any functional impairment. A website is maintained for the committee at this link.

Upcoming meetings: First in-person meeting held January 29-30, 2015, in Washington, DC; workshop/second meeting on Serious Emotional Disturbance in Children scheduled for June 11-12, 2015, in Washington, DC; workshop/third meeting on Specific Mental Illness Diagnoses with Functional Impairment scheduled for September 24-25, 2015; workshop/third meeting on Trauma and Recovery from Substance Use or Mental Disorder TBD. 

 

Department of Homeland Security

 

Committee on Affordability of National Flood Insurance Program Premiums (joint with the Water Science and Technology Board, which has the lead, and the Board on Mathematical Sciences and Their Applications)

Sponsor: Federal Emergency Management Agency

Duration: September 2013–September 2015

Study director: Jeffrey Jacobs (WSTB); CNSTAT director: Constance Citro; BMSA director: Scott Weidman

Chair: Leonard Shabman (Resources for the Future)

Reports planned: First report is in review; second report

Upcoming meetings: Fifth meeting scheduled for May 6-7, 2015, in Irvine CA

  

Department of Justice

 

Panel on Modernizing the Nation’s Crime Statistics (joint with the Committee on Law and Justice)

Sponsor: Bureau of Justice Statistics and Federal Bureau of Investigation

Duration: September 2013–March 2016

Study director: Daniel Cork; senior program officer: Seth Hauser; project assistant: Michael Siri

Chair: Janet Lauritsen (University of Missouri–St. Louis)

Reports planned: Interim report is being drafted; final report

Upcoming meetings: Eighth meeting scheduled for May 11-12, 2015, in Washington, DC

  

Department of Transportation

 

Panel on Research Methodologies and Statistical Approaches to Understanding Driver Fatigue Factors in Motor Carrier Safety and Driver Health (joint with the Board on Human-Systems Integration and Transportation Research Board)

Sponsor: Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration

Duration: September 2013–September 2015

Study director: Michael Cohen; senior program officer: Richard Pain; associate program officer: Esha Sinha; Board on Human-Systems Integration director: Poornima Madhavan; TRB Studies and Special Programs Division director: Stephen Godwin; project assistant: Agnes Gaskin

Co-chairs: Hal Stern (University of California, Irvine); Matthew Rizzo (University of Nebraska Medical Center)

Report planned: Final report is being drafted

Upcoming meetings: Fourth meeting (closed) scheduled for May 5-6, 2015, in Washington, DC

 

National Science Foundation

 

Forum on Open Science

NOTE: This project was recently transferred to the jurisdiction of CNSTAT

Sponsor: National Science Foundation

Duration: October 2013–October 2016

Study director: Hermann Habermann; project assistant: Michael Siri

Chair: David Ward (University of Wisconsin–Madison)

Reports: Forums do not issue reports; they meet for discussion among a wide range of stakeholders; they can also stand up workshops or consensus panels

Upcoming meetings: Fourth and last meeting scheduled for March 27, 2015, in Washington, DC

 

Workshop on Measuring Research and Development Expenditures in the U.S. Nonprofit Sector: Conceptual and Design Issues

Sponsor: National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics

Duration: September 2013–April 2015

Study director: Carol House; associate program officer: Esha Sinha; project assistant: Agnes Gaskin

Chair: Lester Salamon (Johns Hopkins University)

Report: Workshop summary, Measuring Research and Development Expenditures in the U.S. Nonprofit Sector: Conceptual and Design Issues, Summary of a Workshop, released in prepublication form, January 5, 2015; available in PDF; printed copies will be available shortly.

Meeting: Workshop held June 30-July 1, 2014, in Washington, DC

  

The John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation

 

Panel on the Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration

Sponsor: The John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation

Duration: May 2013–October 2015

Study director: Christopher Mackie; associate program officer: Esha Sinha; project assistant: Anthony Mann

Chair: Francine Blau (Cornell University)

Report planned: Final report

Upcoming meetings: Sixth meeting scheduled for May 8-9, 2015, in Washington, DC


 

NEWS ARCHIVES

CNSTAT News January 2015

CNSTAT News 2014

CNSTAT News 2013

CNSTAT News 2012

CNSTAT News 2011

CNSTAT News 2010

CNSTAT News 2009

CNSTAT News 2008

CNSTAT News 2007

 

 

 



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