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The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering and Medicine
Committee on National Statistics
Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education

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 — May 2, 2018 — 

 

 People News 

 

We welcome James L. Woodworth as commissioner of the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES). He assumed his position on April 2, 2018, and will serve the remainder of a 6-year term expiring June 21, 2021. He previously was with the Center for Research on Educational Outcomes (CREDO) at Stanford University’s Hoover Institute. Prior to joining CREDO in 2012, he carried out research and program evaluations and administered performance pay programs at the Office for Education Policy as part of his duties as distinguished doctoral fellow in the Department of Education Reform at the University of Arkansas. He also was a public school teacher in Arkansas. He has a B.A. in in music education and an M.Ed. in educational leadership from Arkansas Tech University and a Ph.D. in education policy from the University of Arkansas, Fayetteville.

We congratulate two former CNSTAT members for receiving 2018 HPSS Long-Term Excellence Awards. The awards recognize significant contributions to health care policy and health services research through mentoring or service that advance the aims of the Health Policy Statistics Section of the American Statistical Association. The two are:
Sally Morton, dean of the College of Science of Virginia Tech, and
Paul Rosenbaum, Robert G. Putzel professor, Department of Statistics, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania.

We congratulate Francine Blau, Frances Perkins professor of industrial and labor relations and professor of economics, Cornell University, and member of CNSTAT, who has been elected a distinguished fellow of the American Economic Association (AEA). The description of her contributions on the AEA web site reads as follows: “Francine Blau is a labor economist who has made seminal contributions to the study of labor market inequality. Her research on the sources of gender wage gaps in the labor market has transformed the field, and much of what is known today is due to her high quality, innovative, and timely work in the area. She has made notable contributions to other areas of labor economics as well, including studies of other types of wage inequality, immigration, and international labor market comparisons.”

   

 Publication News Header 

 

RECENTLY RELEASED REPORTS NOW AVAILABLE IN PRINTED FORM


Modernizing Crime Statistics—Report 2: New Systems for Measuring Crime, released in prepublication format, March 21, 2018.
 
 
 

The 2014 Redesign of the Survey of Income and Program Participation: An Assessment, released August 28, 2017

 

Federal Statistics, Multiple Data Sources, and Privacy Protection: Next Steps, released October 2, 2017

 

Improving Crop Estimates by Integrating Multiple Data Sources, released October 11, 2017


Reminder: PDF versions of CNSTAT and NAS reports are available for free download at The National Academies Press website, http://www.nap.edu, NOTE: The download site asks for your e-mail and a password.  If you don’t have an NAP account and don’t want to have one, then provide your e-mail and click “I don’t have an account;” on the next page click “accept NAP policies” and “log in as guest”.  

Reminder: Slides from previous CNSTAT public seminars are available on the CNSTAT public seminars and symposiaPresentations from the October 2017 CNSTAT meeting public seminar, “New Directions for Federal Statistics,” are available here.


Slides from several major workshops are available on the presentations page on the CNSTAT website. This page also includes a section on “Multiple Data Sources Presentations,” which links to presentations from workshops and meetings for CNSTAT’s Panel on Improving Federal Statistics for Policy and Social Science Research Using Multiple Data Sources and State-of-the-Art Estimation Methods.

  

Event Other News


We note that past CNSTAT member and American Statistical Association president-elect, Karen Kafadar, Commonwealth professor and chair of statistics at the University of Virginia, will be giving the Washington Statistical Society’s President’s 2018 Invited Seminar, on “The Critical Role of Statistics in Evaluating Forensic Evidence.” The seminar will be held Thursday, May 3, 2018, 2:30-4:00 pm, reception to follow, at the Bureau of Labor Statistics Conference Center, Rooms 9 and 10, 2 Massachusetts Ave NE, Washington DC. To be placed on the attendance list, e-mail your name, affiliation, and seminar name to wss_seminar@bls.gov (underscore after 'wss').

Abstract: Statisticians have been important contributors to many areas of science, including chemistry (chemometrics), biology (genomics), medicine (clinical trials), and agriculture (crop yield), leading to valuable advances in statistical research that have benefitted multiple fields (e.g., spectral analysis, penalized regression, sequential analysis, experimental design). Yet the involvement of statistics specifically in forensic science has not been nearly as extensive, given the importance of the field (ensuring proper administration of justice) and the value it has demonstrated thus far (e.g., forensic DNA, assessment of bullet lead evidence, significance of findings in the U.S. anthrax investigations, reliability of eyewitness identification). Forensic methods in many areas remain unvalidated, as recent investigations have highlighted (notably, bite marks and hair analysis). In this talk, I will provide three examples where statistics played a vital role in the evaluating forensic evidence. I then will propose ways in which statisticians can enhance its involvement in forensic science with the ultimate goal of strengthening forensic evidence to achieve its mission in achieving low error rates (false positives and false negatives), and thereby helping to raise the level of confidence in the reliability of evidence presented in the criminal justice system.
 

We call your attention to a new statement on Principles of Economic Measurement, released by the American Economic Association (AEA), available at: https://www.aeaweb.org/content/file?id=6847). According to Kitty Smith Evans, AEA Washington area representative, “The statement took inspiration from CNSTAT's invaluable Principles and Practices for Federal Statistical Agencies, but is differently focused and more narrowly applied. It is meant as a succinct tool for communicating to policy influencers who may not have backgrounds in economics or statistics, the value of economic measures, professional standards for their development, and the complexity of their construction. This resulted from efforts by the AEA Committees on Economic Statistics (John Haltiwanger, chair) and Government Relations (Phillip Swagel, chair).”
 

 CNSTAT Meetings

CNSTAT holds three regular meetings each year, with its spring and fall meeting dates following a set formula; our May meetings are always the Thursday–Friday preceding Mother’s Day and our October meetings are always the second-to-last Thursday–Friday of the month. Here are the next three meetings: 

 
CNSTAT’s 136th meeting will be held May 10-11, 2018, at the National Academy of Sciences Building at 2101 Constitution Avenue NW, Washington, DC. On the 11th, the meeting will feature a luncheon with statistical agency heads (members of the Interagency Council on Statistical Policy, ICSP), followed by a “Big Data Day” featuring posters and demos,beginning at 1:00 pm, with a plenary panel and lightning presentations at 2:00 pm, and ending with a reception at 4:00 pm. Read more and register to attend here.

CNSTAT’s 137th meeting will be held October 18-19, 2018, at the National Academy of Sciences Building at 2101 Constitution Avenue NW, Washington, DC. On the 19th, the meeting will feature a luncheon with statistical agency heads (members of the ICSP), followed by a public seminar, beginning with light refreshments at 1:30 pm and ending with a reception at 4:30 pm. 

CNSTAT’s 138th meeting will be held February 7-8, 2019, at the National Academies’ Beckman Center in Irvine, CA. It will be in retreat format; it will not have a public seminar or agency head lunch.

               

 

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[Listed by sponsor agency, beginning with federal departments. Unless otherwise noted, meetings are in Washington, DC, and include open sessions. For further information, contact the person listed as the study director or project assistant (e-mail addresses follow the formula of first initial plus last name as oneword@nas.edu). Also see the CNSTAT web site under “Our Work.”]

Department of Agriculture

  

Improving Consumer Data for Food and Nutrition Policy Research for the Economic Research Service, USDA

Sponsor: Economic Research Service

Duration: October 2017–December 2019

Study director: Christopher Mackie; senior program officer: Nancy Kirkendall; project assistant: Anthony Mann

Chair-designate: Marianne Bitler (UC-Davis)

Publication planned: Final report

Upcoming meetings: Second meeting scheduled for June 14-15, 2018, in Washington, DC.
Charge to the study panel: The expert panel will critically assess the value of each of the various ERS investments in food and nutrition data, including proprietary data, various linked and integrated data sources, and the widely used Food Acquisition and Purchase Survey (FoodAPS) to provide directions for the next 10 years of the CDNR Program. A wide range of data collection strategies, including use of supplements to existing federal surveys, exploitation of administrative and commercial data, and improvements in database linkages will be considered. A second public meeting will take place in mid-June.

Panel on Improving Data Collection and Reporting about Agriculture with Increasingly Complex Farm Business Structures
Sponsor: National Agricultural Statistics Service and Economic Research Service
Duration: September 2015–September 2018
Study directors: Christopher Mackie; project assistant: Michael Siri
Chair-designate: Catherine Kling (Iowa State University)
Publication planned: Final report is being drafted
Upcoming meetings: Sixth and final meeting (closed) held March 26-27, 2018, at NORC in Chicago, IL

Workshop on Model-Based Methods for Producing Estimates of Livestock with Appropriate Measures of Uncertainty 
Sponsor: National Agricultural Statistics Service
Duration: September 2015– September 2018
Study director: Nancy Kirkendall
Chair: TBD
´╗┐Publication planned: Workshop proceedings
Upcoming meetings: TBD

Department of Commerce
  

Panel to Reengineer the Census Bureau’s Annual Economic Surveys
Sponsor: U.S. Census Bureau
Duration: May 2015–May 2018
Study director: Glenn White; senior program officer: Nancy Kirkendall; project assistant: Anthony Mann
Chair: Katharine Abraham (University of Maryland)
´╗┐Publication: Final report has cleared review and is being prepared for release on May 3, 2018
Meetings: Sixth and final meeting held June 8-9, 2017, in Washington, DC

Workshop on Looking Beyond the 2020 Census
Sponsor: U.S. Census Bureau
Duration: October 2017–September 2018
Study director: Daniel Cork; senior program officer: Michael Cohen; project assistant: Anthony Mann
Chair: Joseph Salvo (NYC Department of City Planning)
Publication planned: Workshop proceedings
Upcoming meeting: Workshop TBD

Workshop on Improving the American Community Survey 
Sponsor: U.S. Census Bureau
Duration: April 2018 – September 2019
Study director: Daniel Cork; senior program officer: Michael Cohen; project assistant: Anthony Mann
Chair: TBD
Publication planned: Workshop proceedings
Upcoming meeting: Workshop TBD
 
Standing Committee on Reengineering Census Operations 
Sponsor: U.S. Census Bureau
Duration: September 2014–September 2019
Study director: Daniel Cork; senior program officer: Michael Cohen; program officer: Jordyn White; project assistant: Anthony Mann
Chair: Thomas Cook (Decision Analytics International)
´╗┐Publications: Standing committees do not issue reports; they meet for discussion; they also identify topics for separate workshops or consensus panels; this committee has facilitated a consensus panel on reengineering the Census Bureau’s annual economic surveys (see above) and will spin off workshops on central topics for 2020 census planning. A website is maintained for the committee.
Upcoming meetings: TBD

 

 

Department of Education
 

Committee on Developing Indicators of Educational Equity (see listing under "The Atlantic Philanthropies et al." below)

 

 Department of Health and Human Services

 
Committee on Building an Agenda to Reduce the Number of Children in Poverty by Half in 10 Years
(joint with the Board on Children, Youth, and Families, which has the lead)
Sponsors: Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation; Doris Duke Charitable Foundation; Foundation for Child Development
Duration: October 2016–April 2019
Study director: Suzanne Le Menestrel (BCYF); senior program officer: Christopher Mackie; associate program officer: Rebekah Hutton (BCYF); project assistant: Pamella Atayi (BCYF)
Chair: Greg Duncan (UC Irvine)
Publication: Final report is being drafted
Upcoming meetings: Seventh in-person meeting scheduled for May 14-15, 2018, in Washington, DC

Workshop on Improving Health Research on Small Subpopulations
(joint with the Health and Medicine Division)
Sponsor: National Cancer Institute
Duration: March 2017–July 2018
Study director: Nancy Kirkendall; program officer: Jordyn White; project assistant: Anthony Mann
Chair: Graham Colditz (Washington University, St. Louis Medical School)
Publication planned: Workshop proceedings will be released May 4, 2018, at 9:00 am
Upcoming meetings: Workshop held January 18-19, 2018, in Washington, DC, information on the workshop is available here.
                   
 

   Department of Justice


Panel on Modernizing the Nation’s Crime Statistics (joint with the Committee on Law and Justice)

Sponsor: Bureau of Justice Statistics and Federal Bureau of Investigation

Duration: September 2013–December 2016

Study director: Daniel Cork; project assistant: Michael Siri

Chair: Janet Lauritsen (University of Missouri–St. Louis)

Publications planned: First report, Modernizing Crime Statistics—Report 1: Defining and Classifying Crime, was released in prepublication format, May 16, 2016; printed copies and free PDFs are available; second report, Modernizing Crime Statistics—Report 2: New Systems for Measuring Crime, released in prepublication format, March 21, 2018; printed copies and free PDFs are available
Meetings: Final in-person meeting (closed) held January 13-14, 2017, in Coral Gables, FL 
 

Department of Transportation


Standing Committee for Improving Motor Carrier Safety Measurement (joint with the Transportation Research Board)

Sponsor: Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration

Duration: October 2017–September 2020

Study director: Michael Cohen; TRB Studies and Special Programs Division director: Tom Menzies; project assistant: Michael Siri

Co-chairs: Joel Greenhouse (Carnegie Mellon) and Sharon Lise-Normand (Harvard Medical School)

Publications: Standing committees do not issue reports; they meet for discussion; they also identify topics for separate workshops or consensus panels.

Upcoming meetings: The standing committee is initially meeting by teleconference, the first of which was held April 13, 2018

 

 National Science Foundation


Committee on Reproducibility and Replicability in Science
(led by the Board on Behavioral, Cognitive, and Sensory Sciences, with the Board on Mathematical Sciences and Analytics, CNSTAT, and the Division of Earth and Life Sciences)

Sponsor: NSF director’s office (congressionally mandated)

Duration: August 2017 – March 2019

Study director:  Jennifer Heimberg (DELS); board director: Michelle Schwalbe (BMSA); senior program officer: Adrienne Stith Butler (BBCSS); senior program officer: Michael Cohen (CNSTAT)

Chair: Harvey Fineberg (Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation)

Publication planned: Final report

Upcoming meetings: Fourth meeting scheduled for May 31-June 1, 2018, in Washington, DC

Panel to Evaluate the National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics Approach to Measuring the Science and Engineering Workforce

Sponsor: National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics
Duration: September 2015–March 2018
Study director: Krisztina Marton; project assistant: Anthony Mann
Co-chair-designates: Rita Colwell (University of Michigan and Johns Hopkins University) and James House (University of Michigan)
Publication planned:  Final report, Measuring the 21st Century Science and Engineering Workforce Population: Evolving Needs, released in prepublication format, January 9, 2018. Printed copies and free PDFs are available. 
Meetings: Sixth and final meeting held July 6-7, 2017, in Washington, DC


Workshop on Transparency and Reproducibility in Federal Statistics

Sponsor: National Science Foundation 
Duration: March 2016–March 2017
Study director: Hermann Habermann; senior program officer: Michael Cohen; project assistant: Michael Siri
Chair: William Eddy (Carnegie Mellon University)
Publication planned: Workshop proceedings is being drafted
Meetings: Workshop held June 21-22, 2017

The American Educational Research Association, the Atlantic Philanthropies, the Ford Foundation, the Spencer Foundation, the U.S. Department of Education, the W.K. Kellogg Foundation, and the W.T. Grant Foundation

Committee on Developing Indicators of Educational Equity
Sponsors: See above list
Duration: December 2016–December 2018
Study director: Judith Koenig; program officer: Jordyn White; project assistants: Kelly Arrington (beginning April 2017) and Agnes Gaskin (January–April 2017)
Co-chairs: Christopher Edley, Jr. (University of California, Berkeley); Lorraine McDonnell (UC Santa Barbara)
Publication planned: Final report is being drafted
Upcoming meetings: Fourth in-person meeting (closed) scheduled for May 21-22, 2018, in Washington, DC
 

 

NEWS ARCHIVES


CNSTAT News May 2018
CNSTAT News April 2018
CNSTAT News February 2018
CNSTAT News January 2018

CNSTAT News 2017
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CNSTAT News 2014

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CNSTAT News 2012

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