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 — December 21, 2015 — 

 

 People News

 

We congratulate John Abowd on his appointment through an interagency personnel agreement as the new associate director for research and methodology and chief scientist at the U.S. Census Bureau. The appointment will be effective June 1, 2016. He replaces Tom Louis, professor of biostatistics in the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and former CNSTAT member, who steps down as associate director, January 5, 2016, and continues as part-time adviser until John’s term begins (John will also continue serving as a part-time adviser until June 1). John joined the faculty of Cornell University’s School of Industrial and Labor Relations in 1987. He is currently the Edmund Ezra Day professor of economics, statistics, and information science. He began his long association with the Census Bureau in 1998 when he joined the team of distinguished senior research fellows that helped found the Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics program. He has served continuously since 1998 as a scientific adviser to that program and others at the bureau. Since 2011, he has been the principal investigator for the Cornell University node of the National Science Foundation-Census Research Network and co-principal investigator of its coordinating office. John is a fellow and past president of the Society of Labor Economists, a fellow of the American Statistical Association and the Econometric Society, and an elected member of the International Statistical Institute. He currently serves on the National Academies’ Committee on National Statistics and the American Economic Association’s Committee on Economic Statistics. He chaired a CNSTAT panel for the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission that produced the 2013 report Collecting Compensation Data from Employers. He received his B.A. (with highest honors) in economics from the University of Notre Dame and his Ph.D. in economics from the University of Chicago.

We congratulate Brian Harris-Kojetin on receiving the DC-AAPOR (American Association for Public Opinion Research) Annual Outstanding Achievement Award for 2015. This award is intended to recognize local members of the Baltimore-Washington area research community, who have (a) made an outstanding contribution to the theory, methods, or applications of survey research, public opinion research, market research, or other related fields, or (b) substantially contributed to the vitality, strength, and spirit of the local research community. Previous award winners include Gordon Willis (2014), Nancy Bates (2013), Stanley Presser (2012), Adam Safir (2011), Clyde Tucker (2010), Scott Keeter (2009), Jennifer Rothgeb and Robie Sangster (2008), and Helen Crossley (2007). Brian was cited for his strong commitment to the survey research field and his long standing involvement in the DC-AAPOR community as follows (paraphrased):
 

Through his previous role at the Office of Management and Budget and in his current role as deputy director of the Committee on National Statistics, Brian has led many survey researchers through the wilds of survey production and statistical research and has not only made their work better, but also made each person better along the way. Brian genuinely cares about the well-being of the survey research field and each person in it. He brings unmatched energy and enthusiasm to everything he does and sets an example of dedication and hard work, directed to keeping survey researchers focused on making survey research better.

We congratulate Michael Cohen and Julia Kisa on receiving staff awards from CNSTAT’s parent Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education (DBASSE), November 10, 2015. Mike is a senior program officer with CNSTAT, who has directed many studies and is also a valued resource for others in the Academies on statistical matters. He received his award for “Longterm Achievement.” Julia is CNSTAT’s valued and exceptionally able financial associate and received her award for “Achievement in a Support Role.”

We congratulate the following members of the CNSTAT community on their election last month as 2015 fellows of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS):

Michael P. Cohen, American Institutes for Research;
David Goldston, National Resources Defense Council;
Patricia A. Jacobs, Naval Postgraduate School;
Alan F. Karr, RTI International; and
Alyson G. Wilson, North Carolina State University.
 

We congratulate the following members of the CNSTAT community on receiving awards from the American Statistical Association Health Policy Statistics Section at the 11th International Conference on Health Policy Statistics, October 9, 2015:

Constantine Gatsonis, Brown University Department of Biostatistics and CNSTAT member, who received a  Long-Term Excellence Award; and
Elizabeth Stuart, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, who received a Mid-Career Award.
 

We note with pleasure the news that the National Institute of Statistics Sciences (NISS) honored Ingram Olkin, professor emeritus and chair of statistics and education at Stanford University and a NISS founder, as part of NISS’s 25th anniversary celebration at a reception during the Joint Statistical Meetings in August 2015. Ingram served on CNSTAT in its earliest days, from 1977–1983; chaired a CNSTAT panel that produced a landmark 3-volume report on Incomplete Data in Sample Surveys, published in 1983 by Academic Press; and served on a panel to review the 2000 census, which produced The 2000 Census: Counting Under Adversity, published by the National Academies Press in 2004. Throughout his distinguished career he has been an active supportert of women and people beginning their academic careers in statistics.

 

 Report News

 

The Bicentennial Census: New Directions for Methodology in 199030th Anniversary Edition was released on December 18, 2015. This report was first issued in 1985 by a CNSTAT panel chaired by John Pratt of the Harvard University Graduate School of Business and staffed by Connie Citro and Mike Cohen. The study was requested by the U.S. Census Bureau to investigate three broad areas: (1) the uses of statistical models for adjusting census counts for differential undercoverage of population groups; (2) the uses of sampling in the census, specifically, the costs and benefits of sampling for coverage improvement and nonresponse follow-up; and (3) the uses of administrative records for improving the accuracy of census counts and the efficiency of census operations. Since the report’s release, many of the panel’s observations and recommendations have proven to be prescient, while some have proved infeasible to carry out within the time constraints for delivering population totals for purposes of congressional redistricting. Yet the panel’s report remains of interest for its comprehensive review of census methods in the United States and abroad and of statistical methods that could improve the count. The report has long been out of print, and it was never available electronically. CNSTAT decided to remedy this lack by reissuing the report on the occasion of its 30th anniversary. Print copies may be ordered from the National Academies Press, and free PDFs for downloading are available from the NAP web site.

Affordability of National Flood Insurance Program Premiums: Report 2 was released in prepublication format on December 11, 2015. The report was prepared by a committee organized under the Water Science and Technology Board, with input from the Board on Mathematical Sciences and Their Applications, and CNSTAT. The committee was chaired by Leonard Shabman (Resources for the Future) and funded by the Federal Emergency Management Agency pursuant to a congressional mandate. PDFs of the prepublication report are available for free download at the National Academies Press web site; printed copies will be available shortly.

         The report identifies an approach for FEMA to evaluate policy options for making premiums through the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) more affordable for those who have limited ability to pay. The recommended approach is microsimulation modeling, which could estimate premiums and future flood damage claims at the individual policyholder level and, for example, allow FEMA to compare the price of NFIP premiums that reflect true flood risk—as called for in the Biggert-Waters Flood Insurance Reform Act of 2012—with measures of policyholders' ability to pay. The agency then could evaluate how different premium and mitigation assistance programs might be designed to make premiums affordable for cost-burdened households. The report says that FEMA currently does not have the policy analysis capacity or necessary data to comprehensively analyze different options for making flood insurance more affordable. For example, the NFIP’s database lacks first-floor elevation data for many properties, making it difficult to estimate those properties’ risk of flood damage or the premiums they would face under a risk-based pricing structure. Moreover, the NFIP database does not contain data on policyholders’ income, wealth, or housing costs. The report identifies some limited analyses FEMA can do now, and describes ways that the agency can build its modeling capacity and data resources to enable such analyses. The pace at which FEMA’s modeling capacity grows will depend on the resources available, access to appropriate expertise, and the support of agency leadership.

Measuring Serious Emotional Disturbance in Children: Workshop Summary
was released in prepublication format on November 23, 2015. This report summarizes the discussions at a CNSTAT workshop, chaired by Kathleen Merikangas (NIMH), held in June 2015 for the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) and the Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. The workshop was organized under a CNSTAT standing committee that has the goal of assisting SAMHSA in its responsibilities for expanding the collection of behavioral health data in several areas. This workshop brought together experts in child mental health, psychiatric epidemiology, and survey methods to facilitate discussion of the most suitable measures and mechanisms for producing estimates of serious emotional disturbance in children, which are necessary to enable the distribution of block grants that support state-level mental health services for children. The report discusses existing measures and data on mental disorders and functional impairment, challenges associated with collecting these data in large-scale population-based studies, as well as study design and estimation options. PDFs of the prepublication report are available for free download at the National Academies Press web site; printed copies will be available shortly.

Rationalizing Rural Area Classifications for the Economic Research Service: A Workshop was released in prepublication format on November 9, 2015. This report summarizes the discussions at a CNSTAT workshop held in April 2015 for the Economic Research Service, USDA, and chaired by David Brown (Cornell University). ERS maintains four highly related but distinct geographic classification systems to designate areas by the degree to which they are rural. The original urban-rural code scheme was developed by the ERS in the 1970s, when rural America was very different from rural America today. At that time migration to cities and poverty among the people left behind were central concerns. The more rural a residence, the more likely a person was to live in poverty, and this relationship held true regardless of age or race. Since the 1970s the interstate highway system was completed and broadband was developed. Services have become more consolidated into larger centers. Some of the traditional rural industries, farming and mining, have prospered, and there has been rural amenity-based in-migration. The urban-rural poverty gap has narrowed considerably. The CNSTAT workshop convened participants to explore the data, estimation, and policy issues for rationalizing the multiple classifications of rural areas currently in use by ERS in light of the changed social and economic environment. PDFs of the prepublication report are available for free download at the National Academies Press web site; printed copies will be available shortly.

The Integration of Immigrants into American Society
, the final report of a panel organized under CNSTAT’s sister Committee on Population, was released in prepublication format on September 21, 2015. The panel was chaired by Mary Waters (Harvard University) and funded by the Carnegie Corporation of New York, the National Science Foundation, the Russell Sage Foundation, and U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services. The report examines social factors that affect the well-being of immigrants as they integrate into American society through the identification of such measurable outcomes as socioeconomic status, language abilities, and employment. The report finds that, as immigrants and their descendants become integrated into U.S. society, many aspects of their lives improve, including educational attainment, occupational distribution, income, and language ability, but their well-being declines in the areas of health, crime, and family patterns. At the same time, several factors impede immigrants’ integration into society, such as their legal status, racial disparities in socioeconomic outcomes, and low naturalization rates. PDFs of the report are available for free downloading at The National Academies Press website. Meanwhile, a report of the CNSTAT Panel on the Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration is nearing completion.

Reminder: PDF versions of CNSTAT and NAS reports are available for free download at The National Academies Press website, http://www.nap.edu, NOTE: The download site asks for your e-mail and a password.  If you don’t have an NAP account and don’t want to have one, then provide your e-mail and click “I don’t have an account;” on the next page click “accept NAP policies” and “log in as guest”.  

Reminder: Slides from previous CNSTAT public seminars are available on the CNSTAT
public seminars and symposia page; slides from several major workshops are available on the presentations page on the CNSTAT website. 
  

 

 

 CNSTAT Meetings

CNSTAT holds three regular meetings each year, with its spring and fall meeting dates following a set formula; our May meetings are always the Thursday–Friday preceding Mother’s Day and our October meetings are always the second-to-last Thursday–Friday of the month. Here are the next three meetings: 


CNSTAT’s 129th meeting will be held February 11–12, 2016, at the Keck Center of the National Academies at 500 Fifth Street NW, in Washington, DC. It will be a retreat meeting; there will be no agency head luncheon or public seminar.

CNSTAT’s 130th meeting will be held May 5-6, 2016, in the NAS main building at 2101 Constitution Avenue NW, Washington, DC. On the 6th, the meeting will feature a luncheon with statistical agency heads, followed by a public seminar, beginning with light refreshments at 2 pm and ending with a reception at 4:30 pm.

CNSTAT’s 131st meeting will be held October 20-21, 2016, in the National Academy of Sciences Building at 2101 Constitution Avenue NW, Washington, DC. On the 21st, the meeting will feature a luncheon with statistical agency heads, followed by a public seminar, beginning with light refreshments at 2 pm and ending with a reception at 4:30 pm.

NOTE: Presentations from the joint CNSTAT/NSF-Census Research Network (NCRN) set of workshops and public seminar at the May 8, 2015, CNSTAT meeting are available on the NCRN site.
Presentations from the October 23, 2015, CNSTAT public seminar on “Reengineering the 2020 Census” are available on the CNSTAT web site under News and Events/Public Seminars and Other Symposia.
 

 

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[Listed by sponsor agency, beginning with federal departments. Unless otherwise noted, meetings are in Washington, DC, and include open sessions. For further information, contact the person listed as the study director or project assistant (e-mail addresses follow the formula of first initial plus last name as oneword@nas.edu). Also see the CNSTAT web site under “Our Work.”]

Department of Agriculture

  

Panel on Methods for Integrating Multiple Data Sources to Improve Crop Estimates
Sponsor: National Agricultural Statistics Service
Duration: September 2014–September 2017
Study director: Nancy Kirkendall; project assistant: Mary Ann Kasper
Chair: Mary Ellen Bock (Purdue University)
Report planned: Final report
Upcoming meetings: First in-person meeting held November 12-13, 2015, in Washington, DC; second meeting TBD 

Panel on Improving Data Collection and Reporting about Agriculture with Increasingly Complex Farm Business Structures
Sponsor: National Agricultural Statistics Service and Economic Research Service
Duration: September 2014–September 2017
Study director: TBD; project assistant: TBD
Chair: TBD
Report planned: Final report
Upcoming meetings: TBD

Workshop on Model-Based Methods for Producing Estimates of Livestock with Appropriate Measures of Uncertainty
Sponsor: National Agricultural Statistics Service
Duration: September 2014– September 2017
Study director: Nancy Kirkendall; project assistant: Mary Ann Kasper
Chair: TBD
Report planned: Workshop summary
Upcoming meetings: TBD

Workshop on Rationalizing Rural Area Classifications for ERS/USDA
Sponsor: Economic Research Service
Duration: September 2014–December 2015
Study director: Nancy Kirkendall; senior program officer: Gooloo Wunderlich; project assistant: Mary Ann Kasper
Chair: David Brown (Cornell University)
Report: Workshop summary, Rationalizing Rural Area Classifications for the Economic Research Service: A Workshop, publicly released in prepublication format, November 9, 2015; free PDFs are available; printed copies will be available shortly.
Meeting: Workshop held April 16-17, 2015 in Washington, DC



Department of Commerce

  

Panel to Reengineer the Census Bureau’s Annual Economic Surveys
Sponsor: U.S. Census Bureau
Duration: May 2015–May 2018
Study director: Glenn White; senior program officer: Nancy Kirkendall; project assistant: Mary Ann Kasper
Chair-designate: Katharine Abraham (U. Maryland)
Report planned: Final report
Upcoming meetings: Second full panel meeting scheduled for February 4 (in Suitland, MD) and February 5, 2016 (in Washington, DC)

Panel to Review and Evaluate the 2014 Survey of Income and Program Participation Content and Design
Sponsor: U.S. Census Bureau
Duration: September 2013–November 2016
Study director: Carol House; project assistant: Agnes Gaskin; research assistant: Adrienne Bradford
Chair: John Czajka (Mathematica Policy Research)
Report planned: Final report
Upcoming meetings: Fourth meeting held October 1-2, 2015, in Washington, DC; fifth meeting TBD

Standing Committee on Reengineering Census Operations
Sponsor: U.S. Census Bureau
Duration: September 2014–September 2019
Study director: Daniel Cork; senior program officer: Michael Cohen; program officer: Jordyn White; project assistant: Anthony Mann
Chair: Thomas Cook (Decision Analytics International)
Reports: Standing committees do not issue reports; they meet for discussion; they also identify topics for separate workshops or consensus panels; this committee has facilitated a consensus panel on reengineering the Census Bureau’s annual economic surveys (see above) and will spin off workshops on central topics for 2020 census planning. A website for the committee is maintained at this link.
Upcoming meetings: Fifth meeting (closed) scheduled for January 13-14, 2016, in Washington, DC

Workshop on the Census Bureau's Concept of Operations for Reengineering the 2020 Census
Sponsor: U.S. Census Bureau
Duration: September 2015–September 2016
Study director: Michael Cohen; project assistant: Anthony Mann
Chair: TBD
Report planned: Workshop summary
Upcoming meetings: TBD

Workshop on Respondent Burden in the American Community Survey
Sponsor: U.S. Census Bureau
Duration: Septembe 2015–December 2015
Study director: Brian Harris-Kojetin; project assistant: Agnes Gaskin
Co-chairs: Linda Gage (California Department of Finance, retired) and Joseph Salvo (NYC Department of City Planning)
Report planned: Workshop summary
Upcoming meetings: Workshop scheduled for March 8-9, 2016 in Washington, DC


Department of Education
  

Committee on the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) Achievement Levels Evaluation (joint with the Board on Testing and Assessment, which has the lead)
Sponsor: National Center for Education Statistics
Duration: September 2014–March 2016
Study director: Judith Koenig (BOTA); program officer: Jordyn White (CNSTAT); project assistant: Kelly Arrington (BOTA)
Chair: Christopher Edley, Jr. (University of California, Berkeley)
Report planned: Final report is being drafted
Upcoming meetings: Eighth (last) meeting (closed) held November 16-17, 2015, in Irvine, CA


Department of Health and Human Services

Standing Committee on Integrating New Behavioral Health Measures into SAMHSA’s Data Collection Programs (joint with the Board on Behavioral, Cognitive, and Sensory Sciences and the Board on Health Sciences Policy)
Sponsors: Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation and Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration
Duration: August 2014–July 2016
Study director: Krisztina Marton; senior program officer: Jeanne Rivard (BBCSS); senior program officer: Adrienne Stith Butler (BHSP); project assistant: Michael Siri
Chair: James Jackson (University of Michigan)
Reports: Standing committees do not issue reports; they meet for discussion; they also identify topics for separate workshops or consensus panels; this committee is facilitating workshops on the topics of measuring serious emotional disturbance in children (workshop summary released in prepublication format on November 23, 2015, available in PDF); specific mental illness diagnoses with any functional impairment (summary is in review); trauma (summary is being drafted); and recovery. A website is maintained for the committee at this link.
Upcoming meetings: Workshop/fifth meeting on Recovery scheduled for February 24-25, 2016 in Washington, DC

 
Workshop on Improving Data on Criminal Justice System Involvement in Population Health Data Collections
Sponsor: Office of Minority Health
Duration: September 2015–September 2016
Study director: Jordyn White; senior program officer: Carol House; project assistant: Agnes Gaskin
Chair: TBD
Report planned: Workshop summary
Upcoming meetings: TBD

 
Department of Homeland Security
 

Committee on Affordability of National Flood Insurance Program Premiums (joint with the Water Science and Technology Board, which has the lead, and the Board on Mathematical Sciences and Their Applications)

Sponsor: Federal Emergency Management Agency

Duration: September 2013–September 2015

Study director: Jeffrey Jacobs (WSTB); CNSTAT director: Constance Citro; BMSA director: Scott Weidman

Chair: Leonard Shabman (Resources for the Future)

Reports planned: Affordability of National Food Insurance Premiums—Report 1 released in prepublication format, March 26, 2015; available in print and PDF; Report 2 released in prepublication format, December 11, 2015; available in PDF; printed copies will be available shortly
Upcoming meetings: Fifth and final meeting held May 6-7, 2015, in Irvine CA

 

Department of Justice
 

Panel on Modernizing the Nation’s Crime Statistics (joint with the Committee on Law and Justice)

Sponsor: Bureau of Justice Statistics and Federal Bureau of Investigation

Duration: September 2013–March 2016

Study director: Daniel Cork; senior program officer: Seth Hauser; project assistant: Michael Siri

Chair: Janet Lauritsen (University of Missouri–St. Louis)

Reports planned: First report is being drafted; second report is being planned
Upcoming meetings: Eleventh meeting scheduled for March 3-4, 2016, in Washington, DC
 


Department of Transportation

Panel on Research Methodologies and Statistical Approaches to Understanding Driver Fatigue Factors in Motor Carrier Safety and Driver Health (joint with the Board on Human-Systems Integration and Transportation Research Board)
Sponsor: Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration
Duration: September 2013–September 2015
Study director: Michael Cohen; senior program officer: Richard Pain; associate program officer: Esha Sinha; Board on Human-Systems Integration director: Poornima Madhavan; TRB Studies and Special Programs Division director: Stephen Godwin; project assistant: Agnes Gaskin
Co-chairs: Hal Stern (University of California, Irvine); Matthew Rizzo (University of Nebraska Medical Center)
Report planned: Final report is in response to review
Upcoming meetings: Sixth and final meeting (closed) held July 13-14, 2015 in Washington, DC


National Science Foundation

 

Forum on Open Science

Sponsor: National Science Foundation

Duration: October 2013–October 2016

Study director: Hermann Habermann; project assistant: Michael Siri

Chair: David Ward (University of Wisconsin–Madison)

Reports: Forums do not issue reports; they meet for discussion among a wide range of stakeholders; they can also stand up workshops or consensus panels

Upcoming meetings: Fourth and last meeting held March 27, 2015, in Washington, DC; follow-on activities under development

Panel to Evaluate the National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics Approach to Measuring the Science and Engineering Workforce

Sponsor: National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics
Duration: September 2015–March 2018
Study director: Krisztina Marton; project assistant: Anthony Mann
Chair: TBD
Report planned: Final report
Upcoming meetings: TBD

 

Standing Committee on the Future of Major NSF-Funded Social Science Surveys

Sponsor: National Science Foundation

Duration: March 2015–March June 2016

Study director: Cynthia Thomas; project assistant: Eileen LeFurgy

Chair: Barbara Entwisle (University of North Carolina)

Reports: Standing committees do not issue reports; they meet for discussion; they may also stand up workshops or consensus panels

A website for the committee is maintained here.
Upcoming meetings: First in-person meeting scheduled for January 20-21, 2016 in Washington, DC

Workshop on Prioritizing and Implementing Improvements to Innovation Indicators
Sponsor: National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics
Duration: September 2015–September 2016
Study director: Christopher Mackie; project assistant: Anthony Mann
Chair-designate: Scott Stern (MIT)
Report planned: Workshop summary
Upcoming meetings: TBD

 

The Carnegie Corporation of New York

Standing Committee on Creating the American Opportunity Study, First Phase

Sponsor: The Carnegie Corporation of New York

Duration: April 2015–March 2017

Study director: Carol House; project assistant: Agnes Gaskin

Chair-designate: Michael Hout (NYU)

Reports: Standing committees do not issue reports; they meet for discussion; they also stand up workshops or consensus panels; this committee will stand up workshops on the design and research uses of the American Opportunity Study (AOS), which is being developed to measure intergenerational mobility by linking 1990 census records (after capturing the necessary information) with subsequent census records, American Community Survey records, and administrative records that become available. The result will be a facility for researchers to obtain extracts of linked files for analysis within the Census Bureau’s Research Data Center network. The First Phase AOS is intended to address the challenges of capturing linking information for the 1990 census short- and long-form records, to evaluate the likely quality of matches with other records, and to propose the next phase of work. A website will be maintained for the committee.

Upcoming meetings: First meeting held October 15, 2015, in Washington, DC; second meeting TBD



The Laura and John Arnold Foundation
  

Panel on Improving Federal Statistics for Policy and Social Science Research Using Multiple Data Sources and State-of-the-Art Estimation Methods
Sponsor: The Laura and John Arnold Foundation
Duration: April 2015–September 2017
Study director: Brian Harris-Kojetin; project assistant: Agnes Gaskin
Chair: Robert Groves (Georgetown U)
Report planned: Final report
Upcoming meetings: Second meeting and first workshop held December 15-17, 2015, in Washington, DC (public workshop on the 16th, from which slides will be posted); third meeting planned for February 25-27, 2016, in Palo Alto, CA



The John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation

Panel on the Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration
Sponsor: The John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation
Duration: May 2013–October 2015
Study director: Christopher Mackie; associate program officer: Esha Sinha; project assistant: Anthony Mann
Chair: Francine Blau (Cornell University)
Report planned: Final report is being drafted
Upcoming meetings: Seventh and final meeting (closed) held September 11-12, 2015, in Washington, DC

 

NEWS ARCHIVES


CNSTAT News 2015

CNSTAT News 2014

CNSTAT News 2013

CNSTAT News 2012

CNSTAT News 2011

CNSTAT News 2010

CNSTAT News 2009

CNSTAT News 2008

CNSTAT News 2007

 

 

 


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