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The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering and Medicine
Committee on National Statistics
Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education

 

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 — October 26, 2017 — 

 

 People News 


We congratulate Anne Case, Alexander Stewart 1886 professor of economics and public affairs at the Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs and the Economics Department at Princeton University, on her election as a member of the National Academy of Medicine, October 16, 2017. She also directs the research program in development studies and is a faculty fellow in two research centers sponsored by the Woodrow Wilson School: the Center for Health and Wellbeing and the Office of Population Research. Her main research interests are in microeconomic foundations of development, health, and economics of the family. She is a new member of CNSTAT and served on the National Academies’ Committee on Population (CPOP) from 2005 to 2008. She is currently an external member of the World Bank’s research committee; a member of the UNAIDS Economic Reference Group; an affiliate of the Southern African Labour and Development Research Unit at the University of Cape Town; and a visiting scientist at the Africa Centre for Health and Population Studies. She is an elected member of the American Philosophical Society and the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. She has a B.S. from the State University of New York, Albany, an M.P.A. from Princeton University, and a Ph.D. in economics from Princeton University.

We congratulate John Conti on his appointment, September 1, 2017, as deputy administrator and acting administrator of the Energy Information Administration (EIA). Previously, John was the assistant administrator for energy analysis and director of the Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting (OIAF), a predecessor organization to the Office of Energy Analysis. John returned to EIA in 2002 when he was appointed to the Senior Executive Service to become the division director for the International, Economic, and Greenhouse Gases Division of OIAF. Between 1992 and 2002, John worked in the U.S. Department of Energy's Office of Policy and International Affairs. From 1980 to 1992, John worked for EIA in the Offices of Energy Markets and End Use, Oil and Gas, and Coal, Nuclear, Electric and Alternative Fuels, focusing on economic analysis of the refinery and electric power sectors and integrated forecasting activities, including the development of EIA's National Energy Modeling System (NEMS). John has an M.S. in management and policy sciences and a B.A. in economics from the State University of New York at Stony Brook.

 

 Publication News Header 


Improving Crop Estimates by Integrating Multiple Data Sources
, released in prepublication format on October 11, 2017, is the final report of the Panel on Methods for Integrating Multiple Data Sources to Improve Crop Estimates, chaired by Mary Ellen Bock (Purdue University).

      The National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) is the primary statistical data collection agency within the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). NASS conducts hundreds of surveys each year and prepares reports covering virtually every aspect of U.S. agriculture. Among the small-area estimates produced by NASS are county-level estimates for crops (planted acres, harvested acres, production, and yield by commodity) and for cash rental rates for irrigated cropland, nonirrigated cropland, and permanent pastureland. Key users of these county-level estimates include USDA’s Farm Services Agency (FSA) and Risk Management Agency (RMA), which use the estimates as part of their processes for distributing farm subsidies and providing farm insurance, respectively. Improving Crop Estimates by Integrating Multiple Data Sources assesses county-level crop and cash rents estimates, and offers recommendations on methods for integrating data sources to provide more precise county-level estimates of acreage and yield for major crops and of cash rents by land use. This report considers technical issues involved in using the available data sources, such as methods for integrating the data, the assumptions underpinning the use of each source, the robustness of the resulting estimates, and the properties of desirable estimates of uncertainty.

  

Federal Statistics, Multiple Data Sources, and Privacy Protection: Next Steps, released in prepublication format on October 2, 2017, is the second (and final) report of the Panel on Improving Federal Statistics for Policy and Social Science Research Using Multiple Data Sources and State-of-the-Art Estimation Methods, chaired by Robert Groves and funded by the Laura and John Arnold Foundation.

      New data sources provide opportunities to develop a new paradigm that can improve timeliness, geographic or subpopulation detail, and statistical efficiency, and also has the potential to reduce the costs of producing federal statistics. The panel's first report described the current situation and challenges for federal statistical agencies’ current paradigm, which relies heavily on sample surveys for producing national statistics, the legal frameworks and mechanisms for protecting the privacy and confidentiality of statistical data and for providing researchers access to data, and statistical agencies’ access to alternative sources of data. The panel recommended a new approach for federal statistical programs that would combine diverse data sources from government and private sector sources and the creation of a new entity that would provide the foundational elements needed for this new approach, including legal authority to access data and protect privacy.

The 2014 Redesign of the Survey of Income and Program Participation: An Assessment, released in prepublication format on August 28, 2017, is the final report of the Panel to Review and Evaluate the 2014 Survey of Income and Program Participation Content and Design, chaired by John Czajka (Mathematica Policy Research).

      The Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP) is a national, longitudinal household survey conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau. SIPP serves as a tool to evaluate the effectiveness of government-sponsored social programs and to analyze the impacts of actual or proposed modifications to those programs. SIPP was designed to fill a need for data that would give policy makers and researchers a much better grasp of how effectively government programs were reaching their target populations, how participation in different programs overlapped, and to what extent and under what circumstances people transitioned into and out of these programs. SIPP was also designed to answer questions about the short-term dynamics of employment, living arrangements, and economic well-being. The Census Bureau has reengineered SIPP—fielding the initial redesigned survey in 2014. This report evaluates the new design compared with the old design. It compares key estimates across the two designs, evaluates the content of the redesigned SIPP and the impact of the new design on respondent burden, and considers content changes for future improvement of SIPP.

OTHER REPORTS PUBLISHED IN 2017 (available in printed form and as free PDFs)


Developing a Methodological Research Program for Longitudinal Studies: Proceedings of a Workshop—In Brief (released online and in print, August 4, 2017).

 

Principles and Practices for Federal Program Evaluation: Proceedings of a Workshop (released in prepublication format, July 7, 2017)

 

Principles and Practices for a Federal Statistical Agency: Sixth Edition (released online, July 6, 2017—printed copies contain the body; the on-line version includes appendixes)

 

Improving Motor Carrier Safety Measurement (released in prepublication format, June 20, 2017)

 

Innovations in Federal Statistics: Combining Data Sources While Protecting Privacy (released in prepublication format, January 12, 2017)

 

Evaluation of Achievement Levels for Mathematics and Reading on the National Assessment of Educational Progress (released in prepublication format, November 17, 2016)

 

The Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration (released in prepublication format, September 21, 2016)


Reminder: PDF versions of CNSTAT and NAS reports are available for free download at The National Academies Press website, http://www.nap.edu, NOTE: The download site asks for your e-mail and a password.  If you don’t have an NAP account and don’t want to have one, then provide your e-mail and click “I don’t have an account;” on the next page click “accept NAP policies” and “log in as guest”.  

Reminder: Slides from previous CNSTAT public seminars are available on the CNSTAT public seminars and symposia page. Presentations from the October 2016 CNSTAT meeting public seminar, "Taking Surveys to People's Technology: Implications for Federal Statistics and Social Science Research," are available hereLook for presentations from the October 2017 CNSTAT meeting public seminar, “New Directions for Federal Statistics,” to be posted soon.


Slides from several major workshops are available on the presentations page on the CNSTAT website. This page also includes a section on “Multiple Data Sources Presentations,” which links to presentations from workshops and meetings for CNSTAT’s Panel on Improving Federal Statistics for Policy and Social Science Research Using Multiple Data Sources and State-of-the-Art Estimation Methods.

  

Event Other News

We call your attention to the upcoming inaugural conference of the Administrative Data Research Facilities (ADRF) Network, “Building Foundations for Data Sharing and Ethical Use,” November 13-14, 2017, at Georgetown University in Washington, DC. According to its director, Monica King, “The ADRF Network is a new, Sloan Foundation-funded collective working to promote the access to and use of administrative data in social science research. Our conference seeks to bring together the research community in academia, business, and government involved in this emerging field to share approaches and build collaborative opportunities.” The conference is co-convened by ADRF, Office of the Provost, Georgetown University, and Actionable Intelligence for Social Policy, University of Pennsylvania. To register, visit http://www.adrfconference.org


We call your attention to the NSF search for a director for the National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics (NCSES) to replace John Gawalt, who is retiring in early January 2018. If you know of anyone who might be interested, the vacancy announcement (NCSES-2018-0001) for this position at USAJOBS is at: https://www.usajobs.gov/GetJob/ViewDetails/482478100. The application deadline is December 4, 2017. 

We take this opportunity to thank the many agencies that contribute core support each year to the Committee on National Statistics. Core funds enable CNSTAT to maintain a small executive staff who, among other things, organize the CNSTAT meetings, prepare the newsletter, are active in the Washington statistical community, develop new projects of interest to the entire statistical system, and every 4 years prepare a new edition of CNSTAT’s flagship publication, Principles and Practices for a Federal Statistical Agency, released in a 6th edition in July 2017. Agencies contributing core support during fiscal 2017 include the following (we hope to welcome back next year several agencies that experienced difficulties in providing core support this year):
·        Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation, DHHS

·        Bureau of Economic Analysis, DOC

·        Bureau of Justice Statistics, DOJ

·        Bureau of Labor Statistics, DOL

·        Bureau of Transportation Statistics, DOT

·        Center for Behavioral Health Statistics and Quality, SAMHSA, DHHS

·        Economic Research Service, USDA

·        Food and Nutrition Service, USDA

·        Methodology, Measurement, and Statistics Program, NSF

·        National Agricultural Statistics Service, USDA

·        National Center for Education Statistics, DoED

·        National Center for Health Statistics, CDC, DHHS

·        National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics, NSF

·        National Center for Veterans Analysis and Statistics, VA

·        National Institute on Aging, NIH, DHHS

·        Office of Policy Development and Research, HUD

·        Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, SSA

·        Research Evaluation Division, U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services, DHS

·        Statistics of Income Division, IRS, Treasury    

 

 CNSTAT Meetings

CNSTAT holds three regular meetings each year, with its spring and fall meeting dates following a set formula; our May meetings are always the Thursday–Friday preceding Mother’s Day and our October meetings are always the second-to-last Thursday–Friday of the month. Here are the next three meetings: 

 
CNSTAT’s 135th meeting will be held February 9-10, 2018, at the National Academies Beckman Center in Irvine, CA. It will be in retreat format; it will not have a public seminar or agency head luncheon.

CNSTAT’s 136th meeting will be held May 10-11, 2018, at the National Academy of Sciences Building at 2101 Constitution Avenue NW, Washington, DC. On the 11th, the meeting will feature a luncheon with statistical agency heads (members of the Interagency Council on Statistical Policy, ICSP), followed by a public seminar, beginning with light refreshments at 1:30 pm and ending with a reception at 4:30 pm.

CNSTAT’s 137th meeting will be held October 18-19, 2018, at the National Academy of Sciences Building at 2101 Constitution Avenue NW, Washington, DC. On the 19th, the meeting will feature a luncheon with statistical agency heads (members of the ICSP), followed by a public seminar, beginning with light refreshments at 1:30 pm and ending with a reception at 4:30 pm. 
               

 

 AP Header


[Listed by sponsor agency, beginning with federal departments. Unless otherwise noted, meetings are in Washington, DC, and include open sessions. For further information, contact the person listed as the study director or project assistant (e-mail addresses follow the formula of first initial plus last name as oneword@nas.edu). Also see the CNSTAT web site under “Our Work.”]

Department of Agriculture

  

Improving Consumer Data for Food and Nutrition Policy Research for the Economic Research Service, USDA

Sponsor: Economic Research Service

Duration: October 2017–December 2019

Study director: Christopher Mackie; senior program officer: Nancy Kirkendall; project assistant: Anthony Mann

Chair: TBD

Publication planned: Final report

Upcoming meetings: TBD

Panel on Methods for Integrating Multiple Data Sources to Improve Crop Estimates

Sponsor: National Agricultural Statistics Service
Duration: September 2014–September 2017
Study director: Nancy Kirkendall; senior program officer: Glenn White; project assistant: Anthony Mann
Chair: Mary Ellen Bock (Purdue University)
Publication: Final report, Improving Crop Estimates by Integrating Multiple Data Sources, was released in prepublication format on October 11, 2017 (see “Recently Released Reports” above)
Meetings: Fifth and final in-person meeting (closed) held May 30-31, 2017, in Irvine, CA

Panel on Improving Data Collection and Reporting about Agriculture with Increasingly Complex Farm Business Structures
Sponsor: National Agricultural Statistics Service and Economic Research Service
Duration: September 2015–September 2018
Study directors: Christopher Mackie; associate program officer: Esha Sinha; project assistant: Michael Siri
Chair-designate: Catherine Kling (Iowa State University)
Publication planned: Final report is being drafted
Upcoming meetings: Fifth meeting scheduled for December 13, 2017, in Washington, DC

Workshop on Model-Based Methods for Producing Estimates of Livestock with Appropriate Measures of Uncertainty [on hold]
Sponsor: National Agricultural Statistics Service
Duration: September 2015– September 2018
Study director: Nancy Kirkendall; project assistant: Mary Ann Kasper
Chair: TBD
´╗┐Publication planned: Workshop proceedings
Upcoming meetings: TBD

Department of Commerce
  

Panel to Reengineer the Census Bureau’s Annual Economic Surveys
Sponsor: U.S. Census Bureau
Duration: May 2015–May 2018
Study director: Glenn White; senior program officer: Nancy Kirkendall; project assistant: Michael Siri
Chair: Katharine Abraham (University of Maryland)
´╗┐Publication: Final report is being drafted
Meetings: Sixth and final meeting held June 8-9, 2017, in Washington, DC

Panel to Review and Evaluate the 2014 Survey of Income and Program Participation Content and Design
Sponsor: U.S. Census Bureau
Duration: September 2013–November 2016
Study director: Carol House; project assistant: Agnes Gaskin; research assistant: Adrienne Bradford
Chair: John Czajka (Mathematica Policy Research)
Publication: Final report, The 2014 Redesign of the Survey of Income and Program Participation: An Assessment, released in prepublication format on August 28, 2017 (see “Recently Released Reports”)
Meetings: Fifth and final in-person meeting held October 10-11, 2016, in Washington, DC

Standing Committee on Reengineering Census Operations
Sponsor: U.S. Census Bureau
Duration: September 2014–September 2019
Study director: Daniel Cork; senior program officer: Michael Cohen; program officer: Jordyn White; project assistant: Anthony Mann
Chair: Thomas Cook (Decision Analytics International)
´╗┐Publications: Standing committees do not issue reports; they meet for discussion; they also identify topics for separate workshops or consensus panels; this committee has facilitated a consensus panel on reengineering the Census Bureau’s annual economic surveys (see above) and will spin off workshops on central topics for 2020 census planning. A website is maintained for the committee.
Upcoming meetings: TBD

Workshop on the Census Bureau’s 2018 End-to-End Test and Concept of Operations for Reengineering the 2020 Census

Sponsor: U.S. Census Bureau

Duration: October 2017 – September 2018

Study director: Michael Cohen; senior program officer: Daniel Cork; program officer: Jordyn White; project assistant: Anthony Mann

Chair-designate: Joseph Salvo (NYC Department of City Planning)

Publication planned: Workshop proceedings

Upcoming meeting: Workshop scheduled for November 30-December 1, 2017, in Washington, DC

 

Department of Education
 

Committee on Developing Indicators of Educational Equity (see listing under "The Atlantic Philanthropies et al." below)

 

 Department of Health and Human Services

 
Committee on Building an Agenda to Reduce the Number of Children in Poverty by Half in 10 Years
(joint with the Board on Children, Youth, and Families, which has the lead)
Sponsors: Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation; Doris Duke Charitable Foundation; Foundation for Child Development
Duration: October 2016–April 2019
Study director: Suzanne Le Menestrel (BCYF); senior program officer: Christopher Mackie; associate program officer: Rebekah Hutton (BCYF); project assistant: Pamella Atayi (BCYF)
Chair: Greg Duncan (UC Irvine)
Publication: Final report
Upcoming meetings: Fifth meeting (closed) scheduled for February 1-2, 2018, in Washington, DC

Workshop on Improving Health Research on Small Subpopulations
(joint with the Health and Medicine Division)
Sponsor: National Cancer Institute
Duration: March 2017–July 2018
Study director: Nancy Kirkendall; program officer: Jordyn White; project assistant: Anthony Mann
Chair: Graham Colditz, Washington University, St. Louis Medical School
Publication planned: Workshop proceedings
Upcoming meetings: Workshop scheduled for January 18-19, 2018 in Washington, DC
                   
 

   Department of Justice


Panel on Modernizing the Nation’s Crime Statistics (joint with the Committee on Law and Justice)

Sponsor: Bureau of Justice Statistics and Federal Bureau of Investigation

Duration: September 2013–December 2016

Study director: Daniel Cork; project assistant: Michael Siri

Chair: Janet Lauritsen (University of Missouri–St. Louis)

Publications planned: First report, Modernizing Crime Statistics—Report 1: Defining and Classifying Crime, was released in prepublication format, May 16, 2016; printed copies and free PDFs are available; second report is being drafted
Meetings: Final in-person meeting (closed) held January 13-14, 2017, in Coral Gables, FL 
 

Department of Transportation


Standing Committee for Improving Motor Carrier Safety Measurement (joint with the Transportation Research Board)

Sponsor: Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration

Duration: October 2017–September 2020

Study director: Michael Cohen; TRB Studies and Special Programs Division director: Tom Menzies; project assistant: Michael Siri

Chair: TBD

Publications: Standing committees do not issue reports; they meet for discussion; they also identify topics for separate workshops or consensus panels.

Upcoming meetings: TBD

 

 National Science Foundation


Committee on Reproducibility and Replicability in Science
(led by the Board on Behavioral, Cognitive, and Sensory Sciences, with the Board on Mathematical Sciences and Analytics, CNSTAT, and the Division of Earth and Life Sciences)

Sponsor: NSF director’s office (congressionally mandated)

Duration: August 2017 – March 2019

Study director:  Jennifer Heimberg (DELS); board director: Michelle Schwalbe (BMSA); senior program officer: Adrienne Stith Butler (BBCSS); senior program officer: Michael Cohen (CNSTAT)

Chair: TBD

Publication planned: Final report

Upcoming meetings: TBD

Panel to Evaluate the National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics Approach to Measuring the Science and Engineering Workforce

Sponsor: National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics
Duration: September 2015–March 2018
Study director: Krisztina Marton; project assistant: Anthony Mann
Co-chair-designates: Rita Colwell (University of Michigan and Johns Hopkins University) and James House (University of Michigan)
Publication planned: Final report is being drafted
Meetings: Sixth and final meeting held July 6-7, 2017, in Washington, DC


Workshop on Transparency and Reproducibility in Federal Statistics

Sponsor: National Science Foundation 
Duration: March 2016–March 2017
Study director: Hermann Habermann; senior program officer: Michael Cohen; project assistant: Michael Siri
Chair: William Eddy (Carnegie Mellon University)
Publication planned: Workshop proceedings is being drafted
Meetings: Workshop held June 21-22, 2017

The American Educational Research Association, the Atlantic Philanthropies, the Ford Foundation, the Spencer Foundation, the U.S. Department of Education, the W.K. Kellogg Foundation, and the W.T. Grant Foundation

Committee on Developing Indicators of Educational Equity
Sponsors: See above list
Duration: December 2016–December 2018
Study director: Judith Koenig; program officer: Jordyn White; project assistants: Kelly Arrington (beginning April 2017) and Agnes Gaskin (January–April 2017)
Co-chairs: Christopher Edley, Jr. (University of California, Berkeley); Lorraine McDonnell (UC Santa Barbara)
Publication planned: Final report
Upcoming meetings: Third meeting (closed) scheduled for January 29-30, 2018, in Irvine, CA

 

   The Laura and John Arnold Foundation

  

Panel on Improving Federal Statistics for Policy and Social Science Research Using Multiple Data Sources and State-of-the-Art Estimation Methods
Sponsor: The Laura and John Arnold Foundation

Duration: April 2015–December 2017
Study director: Brian Harris-Kojetin; research assistant: George Schoeffel
Chair: Robert Groves (Georgetown University)
Publication planned: Two reports; first report, Innovations in Federal Statistics: Combining Information While Protecting Privacy, was released in prepublication format, January 12, 2017 and is available as a PDF; second report, Federal Statistics, Multiple Data Sources, and Privacy Protection: Next Steps, was released in prepublication format, October 2, 2017 (see “Recently Released Reports” above); a website is maintained for the panel.  

Meetings: Seventh and final meeting (closed) held March 16-17, 2017, in Washington, DC
 

 

NEWS ARCHIVES

CNSTAT News September 2017
CNSTAT News August 2017
CNSTAT News July 2017
CNSTAT News May 2017
CNSTAT News April 2017
CNSTAT News March 2017

CNSTAT News 2016
CNSTAT News 2015

CNSTAT News 2014

CNSTAT News 2013

CNSTAT News 2012

CNSTAT News 2011

CNSTAT News 2010

CNSTAT News 2009

CNSTAT News 2008

CNSTAT News 2007

 

 

 



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