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Tuesday, October 21, 2014 
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   CNSTAT - TOPICS

Coordinating and Sustaining Federal Statistics

Decennial Census and American Community Survey

Economic Measurement

Federal Household and Business Surveys

Health and Social Welfare

Principles and Practices for a Federal Statistical Agency

Science Technology and Innovation (STI) Indicators

Statistical Methods and Estimates for Policy Use

Statistical Methods and Estimates for Policy Use

Over several decades CNSTAT has undertaken a range of studies to improve statistical methods and estimates for use in policy making and implementation. A landmark 1991 study evaluated microsimulation models that are used extensively by executive branch and congressional agencies for assessing the pros and cons of alternative tax and transfer programs; its recommendations led to better understanding, documentation, and hardware and software platforms for these important public policy tools. Subsequent studies examined models for retirement income and Medicare policies. A major study in the late 1990s evaluated smallarea estimation models that combine administrative records with survey data to produce more reliable estimates than are possible with survey data alone: the estimates produced by one such model, the Census Bureau’s Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE) program, are used to allocate federal funds to school districts to support disadvantaged students. In the late 2000s, CNSTAT completed a major study for the Food and Drug Administration on methods for reducing and compensating for missing data in clinical trials of alternative treatments for medical conditions. Other policy-relevant methodological studies have evaluated the accuracy of the polygraph for lie detection, alternative methods for estimating the size of markets for illegal drugs, and measures of disparity for women-owned small businesses in federal contracting.

 

Current Projects

   

Research Methodologies and Statistical Approaches to Understanding Driver Fatigue Factors in Motor Carrier Safety and Driver Health

Theory and Application of Reliability Growth Modeling to Defense Systems
   
Completed Projects and Workshops
   

Options for Estimating Illegal Entries at U.S.-Mexico Border

   

 

   

 

Relevant Reports

Estimating Illegal Entries at the U.S.-Mexico Border  (CNSTAT)
2013

The U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) is responsible for securing and managing the nation's borders. Over the past decade, DHS has dramatically stepped up its enforcement efforts at the... Read more


Key National Education Indicators: Workshop Summary  (BOTA,CNSTAT)
2012

The education system in the United States is continually challenged to adapt and improve, in part because its mission has become far more ambitious than it once was. At the turn of the 20th century,... Read more


Industrial Methods for the Effective Development and Testing of Defense Systems  (CNSTAT,BAST)
2012

During the past decade and a half, the National Research Council, through its Committee on National Statistics, has carried out a number of studies on the application of statistical methods to improve... Read more


Ensuring the Quality, Credibility, and Relevance of U.S. Justice Statistics  (CNSTAT,CLAJ)
2009

The Bureau of Justice Statistics (BJS) of the U.S. Department of Justice is one of the smallest of the U.S. principal statistical agencies but shoulders one of the most expansive and detailed legal... Read more


Ballistic Imaging  (CLAJ,CNSTAT,NMAB)
2008

Ballistic Imaging assesses the state of computer-based imaging technology in forensic firearms identification. The book evaluates the current law enforcement database of images of crime-related... Read more


State and Local Government Statistics at a Crossroads  (CNSTAT)
2007

Since the early days of the nation, the federal government has collected information on the revenues, expenditures, and other features of state and local jurisdictions and their operations. Today,... Read more


Testing of Defense Systems in an Evolutionary Acquisition Environment  (CNSTAT)
2006

The Department of Defense (DoD) recently adopted evolutionary acquisition, a dynamic strategy for the development and acquisition of its defense systems. Evolutionary defense systems are planned, in... Read more


Letter Report to the Bureau of Transportation Statistics  (CNSTAT)
2004

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Improved Operational Testing and Evaluation and Methods of Combining Test Information for the Stryker Family of Vehicles and Related Army Systems: Phase II Report  (CNSTAT)
2003

The U.S. Army Test and Evaluation Command (ATEC) is responsible for the operational testing and evaluation of Army systems in development. ATECrequested that the National Research Council form the... Read more


Innovations in Software Engineering for Defense Systems  (CNSTAT,DEPS)
2003

Recent rough estimates are that the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) spends at least $38 billion a year on the research, development, testing, and evaluation of new defense systems; approximately 40... Read more


Improved Operational Testing and Evaluation:Better Measurement and Test Design for the Interim Brigade Combat Team with Stryker Vehicles, Phase I Report  (CNSTAT)
2003

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Test Design and Evaluation for the Interim Armored Vehicle: Letter Report  (CNSTAT)
2005

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Reliability Issues for DOD Systems:Report of a Workshop  (CNSTAT)
2002

The final report of the National Research Council's (NRC) Panel on Statistical Methods for Testing and Evaluating Defense Systems (National Research Council, 1998) was intended to provide broad advice... Read more


Sowing Seeds of Change:Informing Public Policy in the Economic Research Service of USDA  (CBASSE)
1999

Every day economic decisions are made in the public and private sectors, based on limited information and analysis. The analysis and information needed for successful public policy has changed rapidly... Read more


Statistics, Testing, and Defense Acquisition:Background Papers  (CBASSE)
1999

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Statistics, Testing, and Defense Acquisition:New Approaches and Methodological Improvements  (CBASSE)
1998

For every weapons system being developed, the U.S. Department of Defense (DOD) must make a critical decision: Should the system go forward to full-scale production? The answer to that question may... Read more


The Social Security Administration's Disability Decision Process:A Framework for Research, Second Interim Report  (IOM)
1998

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The Bureau of Transportation Statistics:Priorities for the Future  (CBASSE)
1997

How can the Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS), the nation's newest federal statistical agency, contribute to the work of the U.S. Department of Transportation (USDOT)? What is the appropriate... Read more


Spotlight on Heterogeneity:The Federal Standards for Racial and Ethnic Classification  (CBASSE)
1996

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Statistics on U.S. Immigration:An Assessment of Data Needs for Future Research  (CBASSE)
1996

The growing importance of immigration in the United States today prompted this examination of the adequacy of U.S. immigration data. This volume summarizes data needs in four areas: immigration... Read more


Integrating Federal Statistics on Children:Report of a Workshop  (CBASSE)
1995

Those who make and implement policies for children and families are seriously hampered by several features of the federal statistical system: categorical fragmentation, sampling strategies that follow... Read more


Statistical Methods for Testing and Evaluating Defense Systems:Interim Report  (CBASSE)
1995

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Statistical Issues in Defense Analysis and Testing:Summary of a Workshop  (CBASSE,CPSMA)
1999

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Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions -- The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling:Volume I, Review and Recommendations  (CBASSE)
1991

This book reviews the uses and abuses of microsimulation models--large, complex models that produce estimates of the effects on program costs and who would gain and who would lose from proposed... Read more


Improving Information for Social Policy Decisions -- The Uses of Microsimulation Modeling:Volume II, Technical Papers  (CBASSE)
1991

This volume, second in the series, provides essential background material for policy analysts, researchers, statisticians, and others interested in the application of microsimulation techniques to... Read more


Immigration Statistics:A Story of Neglect  (CBASSE)
1985

This book examines the needs for and availability of statistics concerning immigrants and immigration. It concentrates on the needs for statistics on immigrants, refugees, and illegal aliens for... Read more


The National Academies