November 21, 2008

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Standing Committee for Technology Insight-Gauge, Evaluate & Review

Statement of Task

The National Academies will establish a standing committee to plan and develop projects to be conducted by the National Academies. The standing committee will be sponsored by the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) and more generally to the Intelligence Community (IC). The committee will convene four times annually and hold discussions on S&T topics of interest to the IC and formulate statements of task for prospective studies, each of which would be subject to GBEC approval and be conducted by a separately appointed ad hoc committee in accordance with NRC policy and procedures and carried out in the appropriate NRC or IOM unit. The standing committee itself will not produce or be used in the development of any reports. Specifically, the standing committee will:

  • Conduct general discussion of trends in science and technology issues of interest to the IC with particular emphasis on challenges to U.S. warfighters involving yechnology surprise.
  • Identify opportunities for new activities, and on pertinent strategies, and plans to undertake them.
  • Prepare study project statements of task for institutional approval.

In fulfilling its role, the standing committee will require access to classified national security information at the SECRET level. It may also require access to other information exempt from public disclosure under the Freedom of Information Act (FOIA).

Current Projects

Future Disruptive Technologies

Reports

The TIGER standing committee was formed after the Committee on Defense Intelligence Agency Technology Forecasts and Reviews (DIA Committee) published the report Avoiding Surprise in an Era of Global Technology Advances. One of the recommendations of the committee was for DIA to form a standing committee for a long term relationship with the National Academies. TIGER was formed in May of 2005.

 

 Emerging Cognitive Neuroscience and Related Technologies

Released 09.09.08

 This report from the National Research Council, identifies and explores several specific research areas that have implications for U.S. national security, and should therefore be monitored consistently by the intelligence community. These areas include:

  1. neurophysiological advances in detecting and measuring indicators of psychological states and intentions of individuals
  2. the development of drugs or technologies that can alter human physical or cognitive abilities
  3. advances in real-time brain imaging
  4. breakthroughs in high-performance computing and neuronal modeling that could allow researchers to develop systems which mimic functions of the human brain, particularly the ability to organize disparate forms of data.

As these fields continue to grow, it will be imperative that the intelligence community be able to identify scientific advances relevant to national security when they occur. To do so will require adequate funding, intelligence analysts with advanced training in science and technology, and increased collaboration with the scientific community, particularly academia.

A key tool for the intelligence community, this book will also be a useful resource for the health industry, the military, and others with a vested interest in technologies such as brain imaging and cognitive or physical enhancers.

 

 

Nanophotonics: Accessibility and Applicability

Released 02.01.08

The Committee on Technology Insight-Gauge, Evaluate & Review set up by the NRC at the request of the Defense Intelligence Agency, has selected a number of emerging technologies to investigate for their potential threats to and opportunities for national security.  This first study focused on emerging applications of nanophotonics.  Nanophotonics is about the interaction of matter and light at the scale of the wavelength of the light.  Manipulation of matter at that scale allows tailoring the optical properties to permit a wide-range of commercial and defense applications.  This report presents a review of the nanoscale phenomena underpinning nanophotonics, an assessment of enabling technologies for developing new applications, an examination of potential military applications, and an assessment of foreign investment capabilities.

 


Critical Technology Accessibility (2006)

In 2003, the Defense Intelligence Agency asked the NRC to form a standing committee to help develop study topics about technology warning. One issue that was identified was the growing dependence on foreign suppliers of critical technology as a result of the increase in globalization of economic activity. Two important questions emerged for study: what is the risk of denial of critical products from foreign sources and what must the United States do to assure access to future critical products and technologies? This report presents an assessment addressing those two questions. It also provides an analysis of a strategic approach to manage the consequences of this trend towards increased globalization. Finally, the report offers a set of recommendations to implement this strategy and to increase assurance of access to critical technologies.

 


Avoiding Surprise In An Era Of Global Technology Advances (2005)

The global spread of science and technology expertise and the growing commercial access to advanced technologies with possible military application are creating potentially serious threats to the technological superiority underpinning U.S. military strength. Key to dealing with this situation is the ability of the U.S. intelligence community to be able to provide adequate and effective warning of evolving, critical technologies. To assist in performing this task, the Technology Warning Division of the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) asked the National Research Council (NRC) to undertake a study examining technology warning issues. This report provides the first part of that study. It presents an assessment of critical, evolving technologies; postulates ways potential adversaries could disrupt these technologies; and provides indicators for the intelligence community to determine if such methods are under development. The intention of this report is to establish the foundation for a long-term relationship with the technology warning community to support the examination of technology warning issues.

Report Summary



Member Roster

Ruth David (NAE), Chair
ANSER, Inc.
Diane Griffin (NAS, IOM)
Johns Hopkins University

Rodney Adkins (NAE)
IBM Systems and Technology Group

J.C. Herz
Joystick Nation, Inc.
Steven Brueck
University of New Mexico

J. Jerome Holton
ARES Systems Group

 

Ann Campbell
Sandia National Laboratories

Frederick Lopez
Raytheon Company

Stephen Drew (NAE)
Science Partners

Gilman Louie
Alsop Louie Partners

 

Alan Epstein (NAE)
Pratt & Whitney
Julie J.C.H. Ryan
George Washington University

 

Robert Fuhrman (NAE)
Lockheed Corporation (retired)
James Smith
Raytheon Aircraft Company

John Gannon
BAE Systems
Dianne Wiley
The Boeing Company

Sharon Glotzer
University of Michigan


 

 

Christopher Green
Wayne State University

 


Leslis Greengard (NAS, NAE)
Courant Institutue, New York University

 
NAS, Member of the National Academy of Sciences
NAE, Member of the National Academy of Engineering

Mike Clarke , Director
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