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The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering and Medicine
Board On Behavioral Cognitive and Sensory Sciences
Board On Behavioral Cognitive and Sensory Sciences
Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education
 Exploring the Development of Analytic Frameworks: A Pilot Project for the Office of the Director of National Intelligence
Project Description

The Office of the Director of National Intelligence, Director for Science and Technology (S&T), in conjunction with the Director of National Intelligence Science and Technology Committee, requires ready access to deep expertise on a wide variety of technical topics, unbiased assessments of a broad range of new and existing opportunities for Intelligence Community S&T investment, and periodic updates on the implications of the latest breakthroughs in science and engineering.
Intelligence analysts are regularly required to assess the meaning of complex social developments and fast-breaking events, often under tremendous time pressure, and to present their findings in a succinct format to busy policymakers. Although the particular developments they assess may be unique, certain common themes can be identified. For any of these, analysts would benefit from ready access to analytic frameworks that distill the current thinking of relevant academic experts.
The work will be overseen by the Board on Behavioral, Cognitive, and Sensory Sciences, part of the Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education of The National Academies in collaboration with the Intelligence Community Studies Board in the Division of Engineering and Physical Sciences.

Project Goals
The main objective of this pilot effort is to test the utility and feasibility of developing analytic frameworks for intelligence community analysts. The National Academies will develop four prototype frameworks that will help intelligence community analysts apply insights from the social and behavioral sciences to current intelligence problems.
1. What factors determine the efficacy of efforts to (a) dissuade foreign actors from developing, sharing, employing, or escalating the use of capabilities, and (b) respond after a capability has been employed to make it less likely others will develop, share, or employ or escalate the use of a capability in the future?
2. What factors determine how norms, rules, and institutions typically get established in a society or network or among a group of actors?
3. What factors and organizing principles bind societies or networks together and what factors determine the legitimacy and appeal of their belief systems in the eyes of in-group members, adversaries, and the indifferent?
4. What factors determine how an individual or campaign is able to exert influence over individuals or groups?

For this pilot activity, the National Academies will convene several expert meetings over a 12-month period to explore the development of four analytic frameworks. Each of the expert meetings will include invited experts knowledgeable in various disciplines within social and behavioral sciences and with expertise in translating science to practice.
The frameworks will contain foundational literature reviews from various disciplines, a synthesis of key themes and concepts from the literature, and a visual reference to quickly display the knowledge on the situation of interest to analysts.
After all frameworks have been developed, the activity will conclude with a public workshop to discuss the process, materials developed, the approaches used to develop the four frameworks, and lessons related to the usefulness and application of the frameworks.

Sponsor: Office of the Director of National Intelligence, Director for Science and Technology

Staff Information

Monica L. Whitley, Project Director
Emma Fine, Research Associate
Jacqueline Cole-Miles, Senior Program Assistant
Lesley Webb, Program Assistant
Adrienne Stith Butler, Senior Program Officer





Jacqueline Cole-Miles, Senior Program Assistant






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