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The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering and Medicine
Committee on National Statistics
Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education


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 — December 2019 — 


People in the News


We thank Nancy Potok, chief statistician of the United States and head of Statistical and Science Policy, U.S. Office of Management and Budget, on her outstanding service to the federal statistical system. She has announced her retirement, effective at the end of 2019. Previously, she served as deputy director and chief operating officer of the U.S. Census Bureau; deputy under secretary for economic affairs at the U.S. Department of Commerce; principal associate director and chief financial officer as well as associate director for demographic programs at the Census Bureau; senior vice president for economic, labor, and population studies at NORC at the University of Chicago; and chief operating officer of McManis & Monsalve Associates, a start-up business analytics and management consulting firm. She is an adjunct professor at the Trachtenberg School of Public Policy and Public Administration at The George Washington University. Early in her career she was a presidential management fellow, an analyst on federal transportation programs at the U.S. Office of Management and Budget, and deputy assistant director for finance and budget at the Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts. She is an elected fellow of the National Academy of Public Administration. She is a recipient of the Enterprise Risk Manager of the Year Award given by the Association for Federal Enterprise Risk Management; the Secretary of Commerce Gold Medal and Silver Medal for outstanding achievements; the Arthur S. Flemming Award, which recognizes outstanding service by federal employees with fewer than 15 years of service; the Distinguished Alumni Award from The George Washington University; and a 2017 Presidential Meritorious Rank Award for her service at the Department of Commerce. She was a member of the Commission on Evidence-Based Policymaking and has been overseeing the development of guidance for statistical agencies and offices pursuant to the 2018 Foundations of Evidence-Based Policymaking Act. She has a B.A. from Sonoma State University, an M.A. from the University of Alabama, and a Ph.D. in public policy and administration from The George Washington University. She will be much missed.

Publication News 
 


 

Recently Released Reports
Using Models to Estimate Hog and Pig Inventories
, the proceedings of a workshop chaired by Eric Slud (University of Maryland and U.S. Census Bureau) and sponsored by the National Agricultural Statistics Agency (NASS), was released in published form on September 27, 2019. Free PDFs and printed copies are available here.
In 2014, NASS engaged the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine to convene a planning committee to organize a public workshop for an expert open discussion of their then-current livestock models. The models had worked well for some time. Unfortunately beginning in 2013, an epidemic that killed baby pigs broke out in the United States. The epidemic was not fully realized until 2014 and spread to many states. The result was a decline in hog inventories and pork production that was not predicted by the models. NASS delayed the workshop until 2019 while it worked to develop models that could help in times both of equilibrium and shock (disease or disaster), as well as alternative approaches to help detect the onset of a shock. The May 15, 2019, workshop was consistent with NASS’s 2014 intention, but with a focus on a model that can help predict hog inventories over time, including during times of shock. This publication summarizes the presentations and discussions from the workshop.

Monitoring Educational Equity, the final report of a consensus committee chaired by Christopher Edley, Jr. (University of California, Berkeley) and sponsored by the U.S. Department of Education, Atlantic Philanthropies, Ford Foundation, Spencer Foundation, W.K. Kellogg Foundation, and W.T. Grant Foundation, was just released in final published form on September 30, 2019. Free PDFs and printe copies are available here.
Disparities in educational attainment among population groups have characterized the United States throughout its history. Education is sometimes characterized as the “great equalizer,” but to date, the country has not found ways to successfully address the adverse effects of socioeconomic circumstances, prejudice, and discrimination that suppress performance for some groups.
To ensure that the pursuit of equity encompasses both the goals to which the nation aspires for its children and the mechanisms to attain those goals, a revised set of equity indicators is needed. Measures of educational equity often fail to account for the impact of the circumstances in which students live on their academic engagement, academic progress, and educational attainment. Some of the contextual factors that bear on learning include food and housing insecurity, exposure to violence, unsafe neighborhoods, adverse childhood experiences, and exposure to environmental toxins. Consequently, it is difficult to identify when intervention is necessary and how it should function. A revised set of equity indicators should highlight disparities, provide a way to explore potential causes, and point toward possible improvements. Monitoring Educational Equity proposes a system of indicators of educational equity and presents recommendations for implementation. This report also serves as a framework to help policy makers better understand and combat inequity in the United States’ education system. Disparities in educational opportunities reinforce, and often amplify, disparities in outcomes throughout people’s lives. Thus, it is critical to ensure that all students receive comprehensive supports that level the playing field in order to improve the well-being of underrepresented individuals and the nation.


Recently Released Reports Available in Printed Form
 
Using Models to Estimate Hog and Pig Inventories, released September 2019
Monitoring Educational Equity, released June 2019

Reproducibility and Replicability in Science, released May 2019
Improving the American Community Survey: Proceedings of a Workshop, released May 2019
A Roadmap to Reducing Child Poverty, released February 28, 2019


Reminder: PDF versions of CNSTAT and National Academies reports are available for free download at The National Academies Press website, http://www.nap.edu. The download site asks for your e-mail and a password. If you don’t have an NAP account and don’t want to have one, then provide your e-mail and click “I don’t have an account;” on the next page click “accept NAP policies” and “log in as guest”.

Reminder: Slides from previous CNSTAT public seminars are available on the CNSTAT public seminars and symposia page. Presentations from the October 18, 2019, Data Linkage Day and 2019 Links Lecture are available here. Presentations and video from the June 6-7, 2019, workshop on Challenges and New Approaches for Protecting Privacy in Federal Statistical Programs are available here. Presentations from the May 10, 2019, seminar National Statistics for Public Policy: Linkages among Federal, State, and Local Data are available here. Presentations from the October 19, 2018, seminar Leveraging and Integrating Data for Disasters are available here. Presentations and posters from the Big Data Day event on May 11, 2018, are available here.

 
Events & Other News

Please plan to join us for the December 11-12, 2019, Workshop on 2020 Census Data Products: Data Needs and Privacy Considerations. This U.S. Census Bureau workshop will be held in the Auditorium of the National Academy of Sciences Building, 2101 Constitution Ave., NW. Registration is open now.


CNSTAT Meetings

CNSTAT holds three regular meetings each year, with its spring and fall meeting dates following a set formula; our May meetings are always the Thursday–Friday preceding Mother’s Day and our October meetings are always the second-to-last Thursday–Friday of the month. Here are the next three meetings:

CNSTAT’s 141st meeting will be held February 20-21, 2020, in Washington, D.C. It will be a retreat meeting and completely closed to the public. There will not have an agency heads luncheon or a public seminar.

CNSTAT’s 142nd meeting will be held May 7-8, 2020, at the National Academy of Sciences Building at 2101 Constitution Avenue NW, Washington, D.C. On the 8th, the meeting will feature a luncheon with statistical agency heads (members of the ICSP), followed by a public seminar, beginning with light refreshments at 1:30 pm and ending at 5:00 pm.

CNSTAT’s 143rd meeting will be held October 22-23, 2020, at the National Academy of Sciences Building at 2101 Constitution Avenue NW, Washington, D.C. On the 23nd, the meeting will feature a luncheon with statistical agency heads (members of the ICSP), followed by a public seminar.


Active Panels & Workshops


Unless otherwise noted, meetings are in Washington, D.C., and include open sessions. For further information, contact Brian Harris-Kojetin at BKojetin@nas.edu or Rebecca Krone at RKrone@nas.edu. . Projects are listed by sponsor agency, beginning with federal departments. Also see the CNSTAT web site under “Our Work.”

CNSTAT Core Sponsors
Challenges and New Approaches for Protecting Privacy in Federal Statistical Programs: A Workshop
Sponsors: CNSTAT Core Sponsors
Duration: August 2018–December 2019
Study director: Nancy Kirkendall; project assistant: Jillian Kaufman
Chair: Jerome P. Reiter (Duke University)
Meeting: Workshop held June 6-7, 2019; see this site for videos and presentations (note: no publication is planned)

 



Department of Agriculture
Consensus Panel on Improving Consumer Data for Food and Nutrition Policy Research
Sponsor: Economic Research Service (Consumer Data and Nutrition Research [CDNR] Program)
Duration: October 2017–December 2019
Study director: Christopher Mackie; senior program officer: Nancy Kirkendall; associate program officer: Michael Siri
Chair: Marianne Bitler (University of California, Davis)
Publication planned: Consensus report is in response to review
Meetings: Fifth and last meeting held May 20, 2019, in Chicago, IL


Department of Commerce
Consensus Committee on Data and Management Strategies for Recreational Fisheries with Annual Catch Limits (led by Ocean Studies Board)
Sponsor: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Duration: September 2019–March 2021
Study director: Stacee Karras (OSB); senior program officer: Nancy Kirkendall
Chair: TBD
Publication planned: Consensus report
Upcoming meetings: TBD


Workshop on 2020 Census Data Products
Sponsor: U.S. Census Bureau
Duration: August 2019 – July 2020
Study director: Daniel Cork; senior scholar: Constance Citro; project assistant: Anthony Mann
Chair: TBD
Publication planned: Workshop proceedings
Upcoming meeting: Workshop scheduled for December 11-12, 2019, in Washington, DC; registration is now open.


Department of Health and Human Services
Consensus Panel on Rising Midlife Mortality Rates and Socioeconomic Disparities (led by Committee on Population)
Sponsor: National Institute on Aging; Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
Duration: October 2018–December 2020
Study director: Malay Majmundar; program officer: Tara Becker; project assistant: Ellie Grimes
Chair: Kathleen Mullan Harris (UNC, Chapel Hill)
Publication planned: Consensus report
Upcoming meetings: Fifth Meeting is scheduled for December 9-10, 2019; see this site for more information

Workshop on Approaches to Estimating the Prevalence of Human Trafficking in the United States (in collaboration with the Committee on Population)
Sponsor: Office of Women’s Health
Duration: September 2018–December 2019
Study director: Jordyn White; project assistant: Ellie Grimes
Chair: David Banks (Duke University)
Publication planned: the full workshop proceedings are in review; the Proceedings of a Workshop-in-Brief is available now.
Meeting: Workshop held April 8-9, 2019; see this site for more information

Workshop on Social Science Modeling for Big Data in the World of Machine Learning
Sponsor: National Institute on Aging, Division of Behavioral and Social Research
Duration: October 2018–December 2019
Study director: Michael Siri; project assistant: Jillian Kaufman
Chair: TBD
Publication planned: None (NIA is preparing a summary)
Upcoming meeting: Workshop scheduled for October 24-25, 2019, in Washington, DC
 


Department of Homeland Security
Consensus Committee on Best Practices in Assessing Mortality and Significant Morbidity Following Large-Scale Disasters (led by Board on Health Sciences Policy)
Sponsor: Federal Emergency Management Agency
Duration: October 2018–September 2020
Study director: Michelle Mancher (HSP); senior program officer: Daniel Cork
Chair: Ellen J. MacKenzie (Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health)
Publication planned: Consensus report
Upcoming meetings: Fourth meeting scheduled for January 6-7, 2020, in Irvine, CA; see this site for more information

 


Department of the Interior
Consensus Committee on An Assessment of Native Seed Needs and Capacities (led by Board on Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Sponsor: Bureau of Land Management
Duration: Fall 2018 – Fall 2020
Study director: Robin Schoen (BANR); senior program officer: Krisztina Marton
Chair: Susan Harrison (University of California, Davis)
Publication planned: Consensus report
Upcoming meetings: Third meeting is scheduled for January 28-29, 2020, in Irvine, CA; see this site for more information

 


Department of Labor
Consensus Panel on Contingent Work and Alternate Work Arrangements
Sponsor: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Duration: September 2018–March 2020
Study director: Chris Mackie; project assistant: Anthony Mann
Chair: Susan Houseman (W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research)
Publication planned: Consensus report
Upcoming meetings: Fourth meeting scheduled for December 5, 2019 (closed meeting); see this site for more information

Consensus Panel on Improving Cost-of-Living Indexes and Consumer Inflation Statistics in the Digital Age for the Bureau of Labor Statistics
Sponsor: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Duration: September 2019–May 2021
Study director: Christopher Mackie; associate program officer: Michael Siri; project assistant: Anthony Mann
Chair: TBD
Publication planned: Consensus report
Upcoming meetings: TBD

Consensus Panel on Measuring the Transformation of Retail Trade and Related Activities for the Bureau of Labor Statistics
Sponsor: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Duration: September 2019–March 2021
Study directors: Nancy Kirkendall and Stuart Elliott; project assistant TBD
Chair: TBD
Publication planned: Consensus report
Upcoming meetings: TBD 

 


Department of State
Consensus Committee on Foreign Language Assessment for the U.S. Foreign Service Institute (led by DBASSE Executive Office)
Sponsor: U.S. Foreign Service Institute
Duration: 18 months
Study director: Stuart Elliott; senior program officer: Judith Koenig; project assistant: Anthony Mann
Chair: Dorry Kenyon (Center for Applied Statistics, Washington, DC)
Publication planned: Consensus Report is in review
Upcoming meetings: Fourth meeting was held on October 11-12, 2019; see this site for more information.
 
 


National Science Foundation
Consensus Panel on Transparency and Reproducibility of Federal Statistics for the National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics
Sponsor: National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics
Duration: September 2018–November 2020
Study director: Michael Cohen; co-study director: Michael Siri; project assistant: Jillian Kaufman
Chair-designate: Daniel Kasprzyk (NORC at the University of Chicago)
Publication planned: Consensus report
Upcoming meetings: Second meeting scheduled for September 9-10, 2019, in Washington, DC

Research And Development, Global Value Chains, And Globalization Measurement: A Workshop
(led by Board on Science, Technology, and Economic Policy)
Sponsor: National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics
Duration: September 2019–March 2021
Study director: Gail Cohen (STEP); senior scholar: Constance Citro
Chair: TBD
Publication planned: Workshop proceedings
Upcoming meetings: TBD

Workshop on Implications of Convergence for Measuring the Science and Engineering Workforce and the S&E Enterprise
Sponsor: National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics
Duration: September 2018–November 2020
Study director: Daniel Cork; project assistant: Anthony Mann
Chair: TBD
Publication planned: Workshop proceedings
Upcoming meetings: TBD

 


The William and Flora Hewlett Foundation
Guidebook on Developing Indicators of Educational Equity (led by Board on Testing and Assessment)
Sponsors: William and Flora Hewlett Foundation
Duration: September 2019—February 2021
Study director: Natalie Nielsen (BOTA); senior program officer: Judith Koenig
Chair: Not applicable.
Publication: Derivative guidebook for state and district education policymakers to briefly explain the indicators in the consensus report Monitoring Educational Equity and provide concrete examples that will help in implementing them. 



 

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